Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
Those who have given the most thought to price fixing advocate as a
guide “cost of production plus a reasonable profit.” But what is cost of
production? Even in industries so well controlled by man as coal mining,
where the weather does not enter in, there are some mines that can
produce a ton of coal for two or three dollars, while other mines can
not produce a ton of coal for less than six or seven dollars. The North
Dakota wheat farmer, in a year of rust, may produce wheat at a cost of
four or five dollars a bushel, whereas the Kansas farmer the same year
may produce wheat at a cost of only a dollar or a dollar and a half per
bushel. Shall both the Dakota farmer and the Kansas farmer be paid cost
of production plus a reasonable profit for their wheat? From this
standpoint we see that there is no such thing as a standard cost of
production. A single producer may be able to determine his personal cost
of production of a given quantity under a given set of conditions. But
in the general sense, as it is commonly thought of, cost of production
is a will-o’-the-wisp, a creature that seems to exist but really does
not.
Nevertheless, there is a rough-and-ready method of determining cost of
production or just price as distinguished from _laissez faire_ or
supply-and-demand price. We refer to the ratio method of price
determination. Over a long series of years, cost of production plus a
reasonable profit is roughly expressed by the relationship which exists
between a raw product and the finished product. In rough form it may be
most easily grasped in the case of corn and hogs. Over any long period
of years, hogs sell on the Chicago market at a price per hundredweight
equal to the Chicago price of 11.5 bushels of corn. When hogs have sold
for fourteen bushels of corn, they have sold for more than cost of
production plus a reasonable profit, while, on the other hand, when they
have sold for nine bushels of corn, they have sold for less than cost of
production plus a reasonable profit. All this is not saying that certain
producers have not been able to make a profit when hogs have sold for
nine bushels of corn. Neither is it saying that certain producers may
not have been selling at a loss when hogs sold for as much as fourteen
bushels of corn. It is simply saying that it has required the pulling
power of a price for hogs which is equal to the price of 11.5 bushels of
corn to keep enough men in the hog business year in and year out to
supply the demand of this country for hog products during the past sixty
years. This is what we mean by the ratio method of price determination.
It is the only practical method of determining cost of production in
such a business as farming, where there are millions of producers
working under a variety of conditions.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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