Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
The farmers sitting in the gallery, watching the speculators buy and
sell “paper” corn, by shaking their fists and nodding their heads, feel
that the Board of Trade is a gambling institution. So firm is this
conviction that several of our largest farmers’ organizations have gone
on record as being opposed to the speculative system as a method for
registering prices of farm products.
So far as the business world is concerned, the system of buying and
selling future contracts employed by the Board of Trade is in the nature
of risk insurance. A feed concern may have sold to farmers twenty
carloads of their feed at a price based on $1.20 corn. They have not
bought this corn as yet, and do not have room to store it. They
therefore buy a contract for future delivery at $1.20, in order to
protect themselves against corn going up in the meantime. This feed
concern is in the manufacturing game; it can not afford to take a risk,
and for that reason buys a future on the Board of Trade. When this feed
concern accepts the actual corn, it sells the contract. It may make or
lose money on the purchase and sale of the contract, but in either event
the net result is that the actual corn cost $1.20 per bushel plus the
commission charge of a fraction of a cent per bushel.
The speculator takes the risk, and the spirit in which he approaches the
game is often the gambling spirit, pure and simple. But, like all shrewd
gamblers, he takes his risks as shrewdly as possible, and after a time
becomes expert in judging the probable effects of weather, political
news, transportation difficulties, etc., on corn prices. And these
factors are more real than some of our agitators would have us believe.
But while speculators perform a real service to society, there is
nothing angelic about them. They are concerned with a profit, not with
service. The professional speculator is generally either “long” or
“short” of the market; that is, he has corn bought or sold for future
delivery. The man who has December corn bought for future delivery at
$1.20 per bushel is hoping with all his energy that the corn crop is
short and price will therefore advance, that transportation difficulties
will materialize, that an unusual demand will spring up from Europe for
foodstuffs, that something will happen to send up the price. He is
favorable to the promulgation of any kind of news which will help him to
sell his corn at a profit. While the Board of Trade has regulations
against the dissemination of false news, nevertheless these men at times
seem to be able to color the crop news very effectively. Situations
develop where most of the professional speculators are on one side of
the market, and where they are apparently able to use propaganda to
force prices very rapidly either up or down, at the expense of the
amateur speculators.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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