Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
By means of corn-hog ratios, it is possible to determine with great
accuracy month by month the production cost of one hundred pounds of hog
flesh. The actual price, however, has been quite different from the
cost-of-production price, except as an average of long periods of time.
This is indicated by the profit and loss chart on page 32, the black
areas above and below the zero line indicating the departure of the
actual price from the ratio or cost of production price.
The actual price heretofore has been determined chiefly by the action of
supply and demand and not by cost of production. The close agreement
between actual price and the supply-and-demand price as based on a
formula derived from bank clearings and hog receipts is shown on page
96. In the chart on page 107 are presented the cost-of-production price
based on ratios and the supply-and-demand price as based on bank
clearings and hog receipts.
The ratio or cost-of-production price is much steadier than the
supply-and-demand price. If the farmers could arrange with the packers
for a price more nearly representing the cost-of-production or ratio
price, it is obvious that the supply of hogs might be considerably
steadied. Once farmers realize that neither excessive profits nor
excessive losses are to be expected in the hog business, they will
steady down to producing about the same number of hogs each year, and
they will send them to market in a uniform stream, instead of in
irregular spurts.
Of course, there are always uncertainties in the way of weather,
disease, etc. Hot, dry weather in July and August may curtail the corn
crop and shoot up the price of corn and the cost of producing hogs. Such
hot, dry weather immediately increases the cost of producing hogs. The
packers, heretofore, have been either unable or unwilling to pay a price
for hogs sufficient to cover the increased cost of production caused by
the hot, dry weather, and as a result they have been compelled to pay
more than cost of production a year or so later. Why shouldn’t the
packers and farmers constantly educate the public to pay the
cost-of-production price? Tell the public that the drouth and high corn
prices have increased the cost of producing hogs, and the price must be
increased to prevent a shortage next year. Why shouldn’t the farmers try
to find a way to regulate the supply with an iron hand, in an endeavor
to maintain approximately the cost-of-production price at all times?
This means willingness to lower the price of hogs in years when the corn
crop is large, as well as ability to raise the price in years of a short
corn crop.
[Illustration:
Dotted line represents the supply-and-demand price of hogs as derived
from bank clearings and hog receipts. Solid line represents cost of
producing hogs, based on corn-hog ratios.
]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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