Annals, Anecdotes and Legends: A Chronicle of Life AssuranceFrancis, John, of the Bank of England
History
Annals, Anecdotes and Legends: A Chronicle of Life Assurance
Francis, John, of the Bank of England
Life insurance
Up to the period in which he lived--the latter half of the seventeenth
century--the town of Breslau, in Silesia, was the only place which
recorded the ages of its dead; and from these Halley drew a table of
the probabilities of the duration of human life at every age. This
was in 1693, and was the first table of the sort ever published.[8]
In it he taught, with great clearness and exactness, the conditions
needful for the formation of rates of mortality; the manner of forming
them with complete geometrical precision; of deducing a corresponding
table of the present state and annual movement of the population; of
reading in them the probability of survivorship of any person taken at
random in a given society; of, in truth, concluding upon the probable
duration of the co-existence of several individuals from the sole
knowledge of their age. He also first developed the true method of
calculating life annuities, taking for his guide the rate of mortality
during five successive years in Breslau.
That the tables of Dr. Halley were very much wanted may be assumed,
as in 1692 annuities were granted on single lives at 14 per cent., or
only 7 years’ purchase; and that the State took very little trouble to
apply these tables is as true, for we read that, soon after they were
published, annuities were estimated on 1 life at 9 years’ purchase,
on 2 lives at 11 years’, and on 3 lives at 12 years’ purchase. Some
allowance must, of course, be made for the difficulty of raising money
and the difference of interest; still the price paid was out of all
proper proportion. But the most singular circumstance connected with
government annuities at this period is, that, when life annuities were
changed into annuities for 99 years, the owner of a life annuity might
secure an annuity for 99 years, by paying only 4-1/2 years’ extra
purchase. Thus, by the payment of 15-1/2 years’ purchase, a certain
annuity of 99 years could be procured.
FOOTNOTE:
[8] The following figures will give some idea of the chances of life as
estimated by Dr. Halley:--
Out of 1000 born, 661 will be living at 10 years of age.
” ” 628 ” 15 ”
” ” 598 ” 20 ”
” ” 567 ” 25 ”
” ” 531 ” 30 ”
” ” 490 ” 35 ”
” ” 445 ” 40 ”
” ” 397 ” 45 ”
” ” 346 ” 50 ”
” ” 292 ” 55 ”
” ” 242 ” 60 ”
” ” 192 ” 65 ”
” ” 142 ” 70 ”
” ” 88 ” 75 ”
” ” 41 ” 80 ”
” ” 19 ” 84 ”
CHAP. IV.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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