Prophecy, which is generally counted as hazardous, is especially so
when it is about to be printed, and may still be read by the light
of the experience of several years hence. Still, some Commercial and
Financial angels have not feared to tread the ground of prophecy as to
the immediate and _post-bellum_ future of Argentina and Uruguay; and
not only has competent authority not feared to forecast results in this
regard, but there is a remarkable unanimity of influential opinion as to
the probably favourable effects of European affairs on the economy of the
River Plate Republic. Always supposing, as there seems every reason to
suppose, that these Republics continue to have the commercial and common
sense to manage their internal affairs in such manner as to be able to
derive the greatest possible pecuniary benefits from the troubles of
European nations.
One, perhaps the chief, in his courage of declaration of these prophetic
authorities is Mr. C. A. Tornquist; a man having very large financial and
commercial interests on the River Plate and enjoying a very high local
reputation for business acumen and honour. His whole life has been spent
in the higher financial circles of Argentina.
Therefore the author has thought well to cite here some portions of an
article published by him in the Argentine Press, a translation of which
appeared in _The Review of the River Plate_, under date December 25th,
1914.
In this article Mr. Tornquist says:—
From this chaos (that of the European War) there will arise
perhaps an Asiatic country, and, quite certainly, some American
countries, and in the first place the Argentine Republic,
which, on account of the class and special conditions of its
products, is called upon to benefit from the situation more
than any other country in the world, as even the United States
cannot export in any quantity the noble products produced by
Argentina as they require them for home consumption. This
war not only does not create difficulties for our economic
development, as will happen to nearly all the other countries
in the world, but, on the contrary, it will stimulate it, and
for this reason, the longer the war lasts the more our national
economy will gain at the expense, sad as it is to say it, of
the countries now at war. Whilst the war lasts the prices of
the majority of our products will not decline, for many of
the countries which produce the same goods as we do are at
war, and on this account the demand is bound to increase. The
first effects of this advantageous situation will bring about
the disappearance of what we call here “crisis,” but which is
nothing more than a “commercial indigestion,” brought about
by excessive speculation, and which has principally affected
speculators, and has done absolutely no harm to pastoral or
agricultural industries, which are our principal sources of
wealth.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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