It should come in the form of Argentine bonds (“Cedulas”
principally), and in coined gold all that is not employed
to cover debts payable to our commerce and industry to
European banks and manufacturers, which sums cannot be
very considerable, although it is difficult to fix them. …
The reaction will bring about the investment of savings in
Argentine revenue-producing bonds instead of in purchases of
land on monthly payments; it will bring about a reduction
in interest and as a consequence of this an abundance of
money which will stubbornly withstand speculation in land.
The movement of the Stock Exchange will reawaken—it has
been dead since 1906—and there will be money for mortgages
and business, replacing that which came from abroad and
which has to be repaid. All of this will bring in time an
immigration of Cedulas of our external debt bonds and of
railway and industrial shares. What will probably not take
place for several years, perhaps for many, is what I mentioned
at the commencement, namely, that land and other objects
of speculation which do not produce anything will rise to
prices which their owners dream about and pretend to obtain,
as neither banks nor capitalists will invest their money in
such objects, neither will they stimulate speculation, all of
which are circumstances which will contribute to develop the
economic forces of the country and to foment its industries and
its commerce until there arrives for the Argentine Republic
the psychological moment of being able to produce all that
it consumes, that is to say, become self-supporting, without
having to fall back on European industry, a situation at which
the United States of North America have arrived after great
efforts.
Remains only to be added that Mr. Tornquist appears to have omitted
consideration of the possibility of money being _withdrawn_ from South
America by European investors, not on account of any lack of confidence,
but simply because such investors may under existing conditions have
actual need of all the pecuniary resources they are able to realize.
For the getting in of the 1914-15 harvests there has been sufficient
labour available; because of the stoppage of much municipal and building
work, on account of retrenchment rendered necessary by the situation. But
for the future, if, indeed, they are to occupy the prominent place in the
world’s economy for which Nature appears to have destined them, the River
Plate Republics will have to increase their agricultural populations
greatly and speedily.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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