We should greatly err if we measured the effects of this vast addition
to the metallic treasures of the globe merely by its effect in raising
prices, great and important as that effect undoubtedly is. That it will
raise prices, gradually, indeed, but certainly, so that in twenty years
they will have reached the level they had attained during the extensive
demand and plentiful paper circulation of the war, may be considered
certain. No human power can arrest the change any more than it can the
rays of summer or the rains of autumn; and, therefore, all
concerned—money-lenders, money-borrowers, capitalists, landlords,
farmers, and manufacturers—had just as well make up their minds to it as
_un fait accompli_, and regulate their measures and calculations
accordingly. But a still more important effect, in reference to our laws
and social condition in the mean time, is to be found in its tendency to
_keep the paper circulation out_, and allay the apprehensions of bankers
and money-lenders as to the risks of extending their issues, from a
dread of an approaching monetary crisis, and a run upon their
establishments for a conversion of their notes into gold.
These monetary crises, which have occurred so often, and been attended
with such devastation, during the last thirty years, were all of
artificial creation. They were never known before the fatal system was
introduced of considering paper not as a _substitute for_, but as a
_representative of gold_, and of course entirely dependent for its
extension or contraction upon the retention of, or a drain upon, the
reserves of the precious metals. It is to the Bullion Committee of 1810,
and the adoption of its doctrines by Sir Robert Peel by the Bill of
1819, that we owe that fatal change which not only deprived us of the
chief advantages of credit, but converted it into the source of the most
_unmeasured evil_, by stimulating industry in the most unbounded way at
one time, and as suddenly and violently contracting it at another. The
true use of a paper circulation, properly based, judiciously issued, and
founded upon credit, is just the reverse: it is to supply the
circulation, and keep it at the level which the wants of the community
require in those periods of necessary periodical recurrence to every
mercantile state, when the precious metals are drained away in large
quantities by the necessities of war or the demands of a fluctuating
commerce; and when, unless its place is supplied by the enlarged issue
of paper, nothing but ruin and misery to all persons engaged in
industrial occupations can ensue. Supplied by such a succedaneum, the
most entire departure of the precious metals is attended, as was proved
in 1810, by no sort of distress, either to the nation or the individuals
of which it is composed. Without such a reserve to fall back upon—or,
what is worse, with the reserve itself rendered dependent on the
retention of the precious metals—any considerable drain upon them is the
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