Supposing that, in the autumn of 1854, an American expedition, starting
from Florida, or from one of the small islands in the Bahama channel,
made a descent upon Cuba, were entirely worsted, and cut off or
compelled to re-embark. How long a time would elapse before a third
expedition were got ready? Would not the interval probably be shorter
than the one between the Lopez expedition and the present date? The
dogged tenacity of a certain class of Americans, when bent upon
acquisition, is well known. And is it not probable that each expedition
would exceed the preceding one in strength, until one went forth strong
enough to triumph? The passage of the island from the feeble hands of
bankrupt decrepid Spain into the strong ones of the young and vigorous
Union, is a mere question of time, unless other nations interfere. Are
any prepared to do so? England and France are of course the only powers
to which Spain might look for aid to prevent her being robbed of her
last valuable colony. And would she not look to them in vain, at least
under present circumstances? I do not believe that the Spaniards reckon
on such assistance. The reflecting portion of the nation—those who think
upon the subject at all—seem convinced that the island must sooner or
later pass from them. Some would be disposed to sell it, whilst it still
has value, before the Americans feel so certain of getting it by other
means that they will no longer feel disposed to disburse. Others, on the
contrary, are for holding it to the last, burning the last cartridge
before giving in, and, as a last desperate resource, emancipating the
slaves. The most rational and profitable of the two courses would
doubtless be the sale. And yet, owing to the ignorance and national
conceit of a large number of Spaniards—who believe that the valour of
Spanish troops must always suffice to guard Cuba, and who have not
sufficient knowledge of the past and present history of the world to see
that in the course of nature they must lose it—it would be difficult for
any ministry to brave the storm of indignation that would here be raised
by the sale of the island. It could, of course, under the present
regime, be done only with the sanction of the Cortes; and perhaps the
wisest thing the Espartero ministry could do would be to bring forward
the subject when that body meets in November. To give advice to Spain
is, I am aware, a delicate thing for foreign governments to do, but the
men at present at the head of affairs here are not likely to mistake the
motive, or to take offence at a well-intended counsel. If England and
France be quite decided to take no steps towards the preservation of
Cuba to Spain, and if the government of this country be not already
perfectly aware of that decision, it would be but right to give it the
information, so that it might fairly and fully appreciate its position
and chances, and not delude itself with vain hopes, never to be
realised, of ultimate succour from powerful allies.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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