Here then was a foregone conclusion plainly revealed. The religious ire
of the Czar, the movement of his troops, the mission of Mentschikoff,
were all to be instruments for hastening the dissolution of the sick
man, and appropriating his domains. It was no new idea; for Nicholas was
but following the traditionary policy of his house. And if it could be
believed that his expectations of the speedy collapse of the Turkish
Empire were real, it would be unjust to blame him for wishing to profit
by the event. We are too apt to judge of the policy of other Governments
by the interests of England, and to condemn as unprincipled what is
opposed to our advantage. Nevertheless, to a ruler of Russia, no object
can appear more legitimate than the possession of that free outlet to
the world, which alone is wanting to remove the spell that paralyses her
gigantic energies. Looking from the shores of the Euxine, she is but
mocked by the vision of naval glories and of commercial prosperity; but
let her extend her limits to the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles, and no
dreams of greatness can be too splendid for her to realise. But there is
no proof that the Czar’s anticipations respecting Turkey were grounded
on anything more solid than his strong desire to render them true. In
fact, the forecast of the Czar is much the same as that of Mohammed
Damoor, as described in ‘Eothen:’ who, having prophesied that the Jews
of Damascus would be despoiled on a particular day, took steps to verify
his prediction by first exciting and then heading the mob of plunderers.
The reply of England to his overtures satisfied him that he could not
hope for her complicity in his design upon Turkey. Had it been
otherwise, the sick man would, no doubt, have been so cared for that,
sick or well, there would soon have been an end of him. But the Czar
perceived he must for the present forego his desire for the vineyard of
Naboth. Yet there were several reasons why he should still draw what
profit he could from the present opportunity. He had a pretext—an
indifferent one it is true, but still it was more convenient to use it
than to look for another. He had been at the trouble of military
preparations, and was naturally desirous that they should not be barren
of result. And, in the matter of Montenegro, Turkey had just succumbed
to him so readily on a threat of war, that it seemed very unlikely he
should ever find her in a better frame of mind for his purpose.
Therefore, though the sick man was reprieved, yet he was not to go
scot-free; and Mentschikoff was charged, while ostensibly urging the
Sultan to reconsider the question of the Holy Places, to keep in reserve
a demand of much deeper significance.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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