Bob Taylor's Magazine, Vol. I, No. 2, May 1905Various
History
Bob Taylor's Magazine, Vol. I, No. 2, May 1905
Various
Agriculture -- Southern States -- Periodicals; Southern States -- Periodicals
By Richmond Pearson Hobson.
The price of cotton, like other prices, is settled by the relation
of supply and demand. In face of the sudden depression, due to the
increased volume of supply in the large crop, we are liable to overlook
and underestimate the importance of the factors influencing the demand.
Sojourning about the world has convinced me that the factors of demand
are more pliable and more accessible than those of supply. In truth, a
single factor reducing demand, the war in the Orient, is responsible
for depression amounting to from 7 to 8 cents a pound, while the total
depression due to the big crop is scarcely more than 3 cents a pound.
Furthermore, the question of adjusting the supply for the next year,
cannot be intelligently settled until after investigation of the probable
demand.
Therefore, I invite your attention for a few minutes to the question of
demand, and especially to the factor of war, since we are now in the
presence of the great struggle in the Orient.
The old sources of demand, Europe and America, have gone on slowly
increasing with the increase of population, and the rise of the standard
of comfort, though a check was sustained by the outbreak of the Boer War,
which saw a falling off of over one million bales in the consumption of
the united commodities. This slow increase in demand has been more than
balanced by the steady increase in supply, coming chiefly from the larger
acreage and larger increase of commercial fertilizers in the South.
Consequently, for several decades the price of cotton has had a steady
trend downward. It was only when new demands came from new markets that
the price started upward. The chief of the new markets are those of the
Orient. Japan has made great strides in the cotton mill industry, until
at the outbreak of the present war, she was consuming over $50,000,000
worth of cotton annually.
But more important even than Japan, has been the new market of China,
which, when the present war came, amounted to $90,000,000 annually,
chiefly coarse cotton goods, of which a large part has been furnished by
Southern mills.
These two markets have come to consume more cotton than is produced by
Alabama and Mississippi combined. It is not surprising, therefore, that
in spite of the steadily increasing production, the price has steadily
risen. The rise has been especially marked since the Boxer disturbances
that were followed by a new impulsion in the opening up of China.
As great as this new market has become, it is only in its infancy.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account