Callinicus : $b A defence of chemical warfareHaldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Philosophy
Callinicus : $b A defence of chemical warfare
Haldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Chemical warfare; Gases, Asphyxiating and poisonous -- War use
Was there anything in the gas-bomb scare? In the first place, many
otherwise well-informed people have very erroneous views as to the
poisonousness of gases. Gases are dangerous in the laboratory or
factory if they kill without giving warning by odour and irritation;
but gases of this kind, such as carbon monoxide and hydrogen arsenide,
have to be present, in order to kill, in concentrations which cannot
practically be produced in the open. The insidiousness of hydrogen
arsenide has, however, so alarmed chemists that a tradition persists
of a man having been killed by a single bubble of it, while they are
so afraid of smelling carbon monoxide that it is generally stated
to be inodorous. Besides errors due to this cause, there were errors
of arithmetic. In one calculation which was made to show how easily
London could be poisoned a decimal point went astray in one place!
As the calculation was concerned with volumes of gas, the result
came out as 10 metres cubed or 1,000 cubic metres, in place of one.
For this reason it appeared that ten aeroplanes could do the damage
which would actually have required ten thousand. However, most of
the prophets of disaster from gas-bombs made no calculation at all.
Let us try to make a rough one. On the nights of March 11th to March
14th, 1918, just before the great offensive of March 21st, the Germans
fired 150,000 mustard gas shells into the villages and valleys of
the Cambrai salient, an area of about twenty square miles, the same
as that of central London. This caused 4,500 casualties, of whom only
fifty died (all of them because they took off their respirators too
soon). The area was not evacuated. In central London, if the population
had had gas-masks, the casualties would have been perhaps ten times
greater. But we have to compare this hypothetical air-raid, not with
any raid that actually occurred, but with a bombardment of 150,000
high-explosive shells or their equivalent in bombs. This would hardly
have left a house in central London untouched, and the dead would have
been numbered not in hundreds, but in tens of thousands. Such an attack
would have required the visits on repeated nights of something like
1,000 aeroplanes. Such a number is not yet a practical possibility.
We are, perhaps, inclined to underestimate the potentialities of
town-bombing with high explosive and incendiary bombs. In London, for
example, there were never too many big fires started at any given time
for the fire-brigades to deal with. An attack by ten or twenty times as
many aeroplanes as ever bombed London simultaneously might well ring
round a given area fairly completely with wrecked streets or burning
houses, in which case most of the buildings and a good proportion of
the inhabitants would perish. In one or two air-raids on other towns
it seems probable that the Germans were not far from outstripping the
capacities of the fire-brigades and producing very large conflagrations.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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