This idea, supported by these great authorities, got possession of the
public mind; and ever since it has been almost universally regarded
as settled that the great changes of climate indicated by geological
phenomena could not have resulted from any change in the relation of
the earth to the sun.
There is, however, one effect that was not regarded as compensated. The
total amount of heat received by the earth is inversely proportional
to the minor axis of its orbit; and it follows, therefore, that the
greater the eccentricity, the greater is the total amount of heat
received by the earth. On this account it was concluded that an
increase of eccentricity would tend to a certain extent to produce a
warmer climate.
All those conclusions to which I refer, arrived at by astronomers, are
perfectly legitimate so far as the direct effects of eccentricity are
concerned; and it was quite natural, and, in fact, proper to conclude
that there was nothing in the mere increase of eccentricity that could
produce a glacial epoch. How unnatural would it have been to have
concluded that an increase in the quantity of heat received from the
sun should lower the temperature, and cover the country with snow and
ice! Neither would excessively cold winters, followed by excessively
hot summers, produce a glacial epoch. To assert, therefore, that the
purely astronomical causes could produce such an effect would be simply
absurd.
_Important Consideration overlooked._—The important fact, however, was
overlooked that, although the glacial epoch could not result _directly_
from an increase of eccentricity, it might nevertheless do so
_indirectly_. Although an increase of eccentricity could have no direct
tendency to lower the temperature and cover our country with ice, yet
it might bring into operation physical agents which would produce this
effect.
If, instead of endeavouring to trace a direct connection between a high
condition of eccentricity and a glacial condition of climate, we turn
our attention to the consideration of what are the physical effects
which result from an increase of eccentricity, we shall find that a
host of physical agencies are brought into operation, the combined
effect of which is to lower to a very great extent the temperature of
the hemisphere whose winters occur in aphelion, and to raise to nearly
as great an extent the temperature of the opposite hemisphere, whose
winters of course occur in perihelion. Until attention was directed to
those physical circumstances to which I refer, it was impossible that
the true cause of the glacial epoch could have been discovered; and,
moreover, many of the indirect and physical effects, which in reality
were those that brought about the glacial epoch, could not, in the
nature of things, have been known previously to recent discoveries in
the science of heat.
The consideration and discussion of those various physical agencies are
the chief aim of the following pages.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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