This method of calculating how much the temperature of the earth’s
surface would rise or fall from an increase or a decrease in the
absolute amount of heat received is that adopted by Sir John Herschel
in his “Outlines of Astronomy,” § 369^a.
About three years ago, in an article in the _Reader_, I endeavoured
to show that this method is not rigidly correct. It has been shown
from the experiments of Dulong and Petit, Dr. Balfour Stewart,
Professor Draper, and others, that the rate at which a body radiates
its heat off into space is not directly proportionate to its absolute
temperature. The rate at which a body loses its heat as its temperature
rises increases more rapidly than the temperature. As a body rises
in temperature the rate at which it radiates off its heat increases;
the _rate_ of this increase, however, is not uniform, but increases
with the temperature. Consequently the temperature is not lowered in
proportion to the decrease of the sun’s heat. But at the comparatively
low temperature with which we have at present to deal, the error
resulting from assuming the decrease of temperature to be proportionate
to the decrease of heat would not be great.
It may be remarked, however, that the experiments referred to were
made on solids; but, from certain results arrived at by Dr. Balfour
Stewart, it would seem that the radiation of a material particle may
be proportionate to its absolute temperature.[24] This physicist found
that the radiation of a thick plate of glass increases more rapidly
than that of a thin plate as the temperature rises, and that, if we go
on continually diminishing the thickness of the plate whose radiation
at different temperatures we are ascertaining, we find that as it grows
thinner and thinner the rate at which it radiates off its heat as its
temperature rises becomes less and less. In other words, as the plate
grows thinner and thinner its rate of radiation becomes more and more
proportionate to its absolute temperature. And we can hardly resist the
conviction that if we could possibly go on diminishing the thickness
of the plate till we reached a film so thin as to embrace but only one
particle in its thickness, its rate of radiation would be proportionate
to its temperature. Dr. Balfour Stewart has very ingeniously suggested
the probable reason why the rate of radiation of thick plates increases
with rise of temperature more rapidly than that of thin. It is this:
all substances are more diathermanous for heat of high temperatures
than for heat of low temperatures. When a body is at a low temperature,
we may suppose that only the exterior rows of particles supply the
radiation, the heat from the interior particles being all stopped by
the exterior ones, the substance being very opaque for heat of low
temperature; while at a high temperature we may imagine that part
of the heat from the interior particles is allowed to pass, thereby
swelling the total radiation. But as the plate becomes thinner and
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