While the speculative rash lasts, a host of pundits, analysts, and
scholars aim to justify it. The "new economy" is exempt from "old
rules and archaic modes of thinking". Productivity has surged and
established a steeper, but sustainable, trend line. Information
technology is as revolutionary as electricity. No, more than
electricity. Stock valuations are reasonable. The Dow is on its way
to 33,000. People want to believe these "objective, disinterested
analyses" from "experts".
Investments by households are only one of the engines of this first
kind of asset bubbles. A lot of the money that pours into pyramid
schemes and stock exchange booms is laundered, the fruits of illicit
pursuits. The laundering of tax-evaded money or the proceeds of
criminal activities, mainly drugs, is effected through regular
banking channels. The money changes ownership a few times to obscure
its trail and the identities of the true owners.
Many offshore banks manage shady investment ploys. They maintain two
sets of books. The "public" or "cooked" set is made available to the
authorities - the tax administration, bank supervision, deposit
insurance, law enforcement agencies, and securities and exchange
commission. The true record is kept in the second, inaccessible, set
of files.
This second set of accounts reflects reality: who deposited how
much, when and subject to which conditions - and who borrowed what,
when and subject to what terms. These arrangements are so stealthy
and convoluted that sometimes even the shareholders of the bank lose
track of its activities and misapprehend its real situation.
Unscrupulous management and staff sometimes take advantage of the
situation. Embezzlement, abuse of authority, mysterious trades,
misuse of funds are more widespread than acknowledged.
The thunderous disintegration of the Bank for Credit and Commerce
International (BCCI) in London in 1991 revealed that, for the better
part of a decade, the executives and employees of this penumbral
institution were busy stealing and misappropriating $10 billion. The
Bank of England's supervision department failed to spot the rot on
time. Depositors were - partially - compensated by the main
shareholder of the bank, an Arab sheikh. The story repeated itself
with Nick Leeson and his unauthorized disastrous trades which
brought down the venerable and veteran Barings Bank in 1995.
The combination of black money, shoddy financial controls, shady
bank accounts and shredded documents renders a true account of the
cash flows and damages in such cases all but impossible. There is no
telling what were the contributions of drug barons, American off-
shore corporations, or European and Japanese tax-evaders - channeled
precisely through such institutions - to the stratospheric rise in
Wall-Street in the last few years.
But there is another - potentially the most pernicious - type of
asset bubble. When financial institutions lend to the unworthy but
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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