The crash of 1929 was not without its Enrons and World.com's.
Clarence Hatry and his associates admitted to forging the accounts
of their investment group to show a fake net worth of $24 million
British pounds - rather than the true picture of 19 billion in
liabilities. This led to forced liquidation of Wall Street positions
by harried British financiers.
The collapse of Middle West Utilities, run by the energy tycoon,
Samuel Insull, exposed a web of offshore holding companies whose
only purpose was to hide losses and disguise leverage. The former
president of NYSE, Richard Whitney was arrested for larceny.
Analysts and commentators thought of the stock exchange as decoupled
from the real economy. Only one tenth of the population was invested
- compared to 40 percent today. "The World" wrote, with more than a
bit of Schadenfreude: "The country has not suffered a catastrophe
... The American people ... has been gambling largely with the
surplus of its astonishing prosperity."
"The Daily News" concurred: "The sagging of the stocks has not
destroyed a single factory, wiped out a single farm or city lot or
real estate development, decreased the productive powers of a single
workman or machine in the United States." In Louisville, the "Herald
Post" commented sagely: "While Wall Street was getting rid of its
weak holder to their own most drastic punishment, grain was
stronger. That will go to the credit side of the national prosperity
and help replace that buying power which some fear has been gravely
impaired."
During the Coolidge presidency, according to the Encyclopedia
Britannica, "stock dividends rose by 108 percent, corporate profits
by 76 percent, and wages by 33 percent. In 1929, 4,455,100 passenger
cars were sold by American factories, one for every 27 members of
the population, a record that was not broken until 1950.
Productivity was the key to America's economic growth. Because of
improvements in technology, overall labour costs declined by nearly
10 percent, even though the wages of individual workers rose."
Jude Waninski adds in his tome "The Way the World Works" that
"between 1921 and 1929, GNP grew to $103.1 billion from $69.6
billion. And because prices were falling, real output increased even
faster." Tax rates were sharply reduced.
John Kenneth Galbraith noted these data in his seminal "The Great
Crash":
"Between 1925 and 1929, the number of manufacturing establishments
increased from 183,900 to 206,700; the value of their output rose
from $60.8 billions to $68 billions. The Federal Reserve index of
industrial production which had averaged only 67 in 1921 ... had
risen to 110 by July 1928, and it reached 126 in June 1929 ... (but
the American people) were also displaying an inordinate desire to
get rich quickly with a minimum of physical effort."
Personal borrowing for consumption peaked in 1928 - though the
administration, unlike today, maintained twin fiscal and current
account surpluses and the USA was a large net creditor.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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