Daedalus : $b or, Science and the futureHaldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Philosophy
Daedalus : $b or, Science and the future
Haldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Biology; Science
Far more profound will be the effect of the practical applications
of biology. I believe that the progress of medicine has had almost,
if not quite, as deep an effect on society in Western Europe as the
industrial revolution. Apart from the important social consequences
which have flowed from the partial substitution of the doctor for the
priest, its net result has been that whereas four hundred years ago
most people died in childhood, they now live on an average, (apart from
the late war), until forty-five. Bad as our urban conditions often are,
there is not a slum in the country which has a third of the infantile
death-rate of the royal family in the middle ages. Largely as a result
of this religion has come to lay less and less stress on a good death,
and more and more on a good life, and its whole outlook has gradually
changed in consequence. Death has receded so far into the background of
our normal thoughts that when we came into somewhat close contact with
it during the war most of us failed completely to take it seriously.
Similarly institutions which were based on short lives have almost
wholly collapsed. For example the English land system postulated that
the landowner should die aged about forty, and be succeeded by his
eldest son, aged about twenty. The son had spent most of his life on
the estate, and had few interests outside it. He managed it at least
as well as anyone else could have done. Nowadays the father dodders on
till about eighty, and is generally incompetent for ten years before
his death. His son succeeds him at the age of fifty or so, by which
time he may be a fairly competent colonel or stockbroker, but cannot
hope to learn the art of managing an estate. In consequence he either
hands it over to an agent who is deprived of initiative and often
corrupt, or runs it unscientifically, gets a low return, and ascribes
to Bolshevism what he should really lay at the door of vaccination.
But to return, if I may use the expression, to the future, I am
going to suggest a few obvious developments which seem probable in
the present state of biological science, without assuming any great
new generalizations of the type of Darwinism. I have the very best
precedents for introducing a myth at this point, so perhaps I may be
excused if I reproduce some extracts from an essay on the influence of
biology on history during the 20th century which will (it is hoped) be
read by a rather stupid undergraduate member of this university to his
supervisor during his first term 150 years hence.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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