§ 437. Without touching now on the metaphysical difficulty as to how
we pass at all from the known to the unknown, let us grant that there
is no fact better attested by experience than this--'That where the
circumstances are precisely alike, like results follow.' But then we
never can be absolutely sure that the circumstances in any two cases
are precisely alike. All the experience of all past ages in favour of
the daily rising of the sun is not enough to render us theoretically
certain that the sun will rise tomorrow We shall act indeed with a
perfect reliance upon the assumption of the coming day-break; but, for
all that, the time may arrive when the conditions of the universe
shall have changed, and the sun will rise no more.
§ 438. On the other hand a deductive inference has all the certainty
that can be imparted to it by the laws of thought, or, in other words,
by the structure of our mental faculties; but this certainty is purely
hypothetical. We may feel assured that if the premisses are true, the
conclusion is true also. But for the truth of our premisses we have to
fall back upon induction or upon intuition. It is not the province of
deductive logic to discuss the material truth or falsity of the
propositions upon which our reasonings are based. This task is left to
inductive logic, the aim of which is to establish, if possible, a test
of material truth and falsity.
§ 439. Thus while deduction is concerned only with the relative truth
or falsity of propositions, induction is concerned with their actual
truth or falsity. For this reason deductive logic has been termed the
logic of consistency, not of truth.
§ 440. It is not quite accurate to say that in deduction we proceed
from the more to the less general, still less to say, as is often
said, that we proceed from the universal to the particular. For it may
happen that the consequent is of precisely the same amount of
generality as the antecedent. This is so, not only in most forms of
immediate inference, but also in a syllogism which consists of
singular propositions only, e.g.
The tallest man in Oxford is under eight feet.
So and so is the tallest man in Oxford.
.'. So and so is under eight feet.
This form of inference has been named Traduction; but there is no
essential difference between its laws and those of deduction.
§ 441. Subjoined is a classification of inferences, which will serve
as a map of the country we are now about to explore.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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