In Caraccas it is said that nearly every street in the river suburb has
an earthquake Cassandra or two. Some of these go so far not only as
to predict the coming seisms, but also the vicissitudes of particular
streets.[136] Earthquake prophets are, however, by no means confined to
the new world, and many examples of them may be found in the histories
of countries where earthquakes have been felt.
The story of the crazy lifeguardsman who prophesied an earthquake to
take place in London on April 4, 1691, is an example. The Rev. Sig.
Pasquel E. Perdini, writing on the earthquakes at Leghorn in 1742,
says that ‘a Milanese astrologer predicted this earthquake for January
27, by which “misfortune” the faith and credit given to the astrologer
gained him more reverence and honour than the prophets and holy
gospel.’ Before the time at which he predicted a second shock, people
removed away from Leghorn.
_Warnings furnished by animals._—A study of the warnings furnished by
animals is also interesting. Several of the natives in Caraccas possess
oracular quadrupeds, such as dogs, cats, and jerboas, which anticipate
coming dangers by their restlessness.
Before the catastrophe of 1812, at Caraccas, a Spanish stallion broke
out from its stable and escaped to the highlands, which was regarded
as the result of the prescience of a coming calamity. Before the
disturbances of 1822 and 1835, which shook Chili, immense flocks of sea
birds flew inland, as if they had been alarmed by the commencement of
some suboceanic disturbance. Before this last shock it is also related
that all the dogs escaped from the city of Talcahuano.
_Earthquake warning._—What has here been said respecting the prediction
of earthquakes is necessarily imperfect—many of the signs which are
popularly supposed to enable persons to foretell the coming of an
earthquake having already been mentioned in previous chapters. That
we shall yet be able to prepare ourselves against the coming of
earthquakes, by the applications of laws governing these disturbances,
is not an unreasonable hope.
With an electric circuit which is closed by a movement of the ground,
we are already in a position to warn the dwellers in surrounding
districts that a movement is approaching.
An earthquake which travelled at the rate of four seconds to the
mile might, if it were allowed to close a circuit which fired a gun
at a station fifteen miles distant, give the inhabitants at that
place a minute’s warning to leave their houses. The inhabitants of
Australia and the western shores of the Pacific might, by telegraphic
communication, receive eighteen to twenty-five hours’ warning of the
coming of destructive sea waves resulting from earthquakes in South
America.
Although warnings like these might have their value, that which is
chiefly required is to warn the dwellers at and near an earthquake
centre of coming disturbances.
What the results of the observations on earth tremors will lead to is
problematical.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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