A theoretical statement is a statement following necessarily and
logically from some one or more known first principles. Thus, we know
that two sides of a triangle are longer than the third, so we say it
follows _theoretically_ that a straight road from London to Brighton
is quicker motoring than going round by Lewes. But the number of first
principles at work in the actual world is indefinitely large. Therefore
one must test any one theoretical conclusion by practice: by seeing how
it works. Because, side by side with the one or two first principles
upon which our theory is built, there are an indefinitely large number
of other first principles which come into play in the real world.
Thus there is, in motoring, the principle that speed varies with road
surface. So the way round by Lewes may be quicker than the straight
road if it has a better surface. There is yet another principle that
speed is checked by turnings in the road, and it may prove that on
trial the two ways are about equal.
Or again: we know that the tidal wave is raised on either side of the
earth, and that there is, therefore, about twelve hours of even ebb and
flow, six hours each on the average and taking the world as a whole:
because the earth takes twenty-four hours to go round.
But if you were to act upon that first principle _only_ in any one
part of the world, and to say without testing the thing in practice,
“I can calculate the tide theoretically,” you would very often wreck
your ship. For many other principles come into play in the matter of
the tide besides this twelve-hour period. In one case the tide will be
delayed by shoals or by the current of a river. In another there may be
two or three tides meeting. In a third the sea will be so locked that
there will be hardly any tide for many hours, and then a rush at the
end--and so on.
Now it is just the same with Economics. Your economic first principle
makes you come to such and such a _theoretical_ conclusion. But there
are a lot of other first principles at work, and they may modify the
effect _in practice_ to any extent. When people object to “theoretical
dreaming,” as they call it, they mean the bad habit of thinking
that one conclusion from one particular set of first principles is
sufficient and will apply to any set of circumstances. It never does.
One has always to watch the thing in practice, and see what other
forces come in.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account