Elements of metaphysicsTaylor, A. E. (Alfred Edward)
Philosophy
Elements of metaphysics
Taylor, A. E. (Alfred Edward)
Metaphysics
It is, of course, obvious that the principle of Causation as thus
understood is not a necessary logical deduction from the principle of
Ground and Consequence. It might be the case that all occurrences form a
coherent plan or system, such that if you once grasped the principle of
the system you could infer from it what precise occurrence must take
place at any one moment, and yet it might be impossible to discover this
principle by an examination of the course of events up to the present
moment. In other words, the principle of the systematic interconnection
of events might be valid, and yet the events of the present might depend
on those which will succeed them in the future no less than on those
which have preceded them in the past. In that case it would be
impossible with absolute logical certainty to infer what will occur at a
given moment from the mere examination of what has preceded, _i.e._ the
principle of Causation as used in the sciences would not be logically
valid.[104]
Cause, as currently understood, is thus identical not with the whole
true logical ground, but with the ground so far as it can be discovered
in the train of temporally antecedent circumstances, _i.e._ cause is
_incomplete_ ground. This point is important, as it shows that the
principle of Causation is not, like the principle of Sufficient Reason,
axiomatic. It is no necessary logical consequence of the knowability or
systematic character of the Real that an event should be completely
determined by temporally antecedent events; for anything that is implied
in the systematic character of the Real, the event may be equally
dependent on subsequent occurrences. Again, the principle of Causation
cannot be empirically established by an appeal to the actual course of
experience. Actual experience is certainly not sufficient to show that
every event is absolutely determined by its antecedent conditions; at
most the success of our scientific hypotheses based upon the assumption
of causality only avails to show that events may be inferred from their
antecedents with sufficient accuracy to make the causal assumption
practically useful.
Regarded as a universal principle of scientific procedure, the causal
assumption must be pronounced to be neither an axiom nor an empirical
truth but a _postulate_, in the strict sense of the word, _i.e._ an
assumption which cannot be logically justified, but is made because of
its practical value, and depends upon the success with which it can be
applied for confirmation. In the sense that it is a postulate which
experience may confirm but cannot prove, it may properly be said to be
_a priori_, but it is manifestly not _a priori_ in the more familiar
Kantian sense of the word. That is, it is not a necessary and
indispensable axiom without which systematic knowledge would be
impossible. For, as we have already seen and shall see more fully in the
immediate sequel, it may not be, and indeed in the last resort cannot
be, true.
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