Elements of metaphysicsTaylor, A. E. (Alfred Edward)
Philosophy
Elements of metaphysics
Taylor, A. E. (Alfred Edward)
Metaphysics
standards of comparison. As we have seen, the validity of this
assumption could never have been known _a priori_; it can only be said
to be actually valid where actual use has justified it. At the same
time, it is clearly a principle of method to assume the universal
applicability of our practical postulates wherever it is to our interest
that they should be applicable, as explained in the last paragraph. This
is why we rightly assume the applicability of the postulates in spheres
where the successful establishment of general uniformities has not
hitherto been effected, so long as no positive reason can be shown why
they should not apply. We shall find this last reflection suggestive
when we come to deal with the ethical difficulties which have been felt
about the application of the postulates of Uniformity and Causality to
voluntary action.
It is of course clear that our reduction of Uniformity to a mere
practical postulate does not introduce any element of pure “chance” into
the actual order of existing things. “Chance” is a term with more than
one meaning, and its ambiguity may easily lead to misapprehensions.
Chance may mean (_a_) any sequence for which our actual knowledge cannot
assign the ground. In this sense chance, as another name for our own
mere ignorance, must of course be recognised by any theory which does
not lose sight of the fact of human ignorance and fallibility.
Or again, chance may mean (_b_) a sequence of which the ground is
partially understood. We may know enough of the ground of the sequence
to be able to limit the possibilities to a definite number of
alternatives, without knowing enough to say which alternative completely
satisfies the conditions in a special case. It is in this sense that we
speak of the “chances” of any one of the alternative events as capable
of computation, and make the rules for their computation the object of
special mathematical elaboration in the so-called “Theory of
Probability.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account