Europe -- Politics and government -- 1815-1848; France -- Foreign relations -- Great Britain
No sooner had M. Guizot emerged successfully from the initial stages
of the parliamentary struggle, than he applied himself diligently to
the task of bringing back France into the Concert of the Powers.
The German Courts, he was well aware, were most anxious to terminate
a situation pregnant with dangerous possibilities. In the eyes of
Metternich and of Baron Werther, the Prussian minister, the isolation
of France threatened the peace of Europe, and, in order to put an
end to it, they were prepared to settle "_tant bien que mal_,"[682]
the eastern question. Under ordinary circumstances the Tsar Nicholas
might have been expected to oppose the resumption by France of her
place in the Concert of the Powers. But he had now strong reasons
of his own for desiring that her isolation should cease. He had
instructed Brunnow to undertake that the Treaty of Unkiar-Skelessi
should not be renewed, because experience had proved that it was of no
practical value.[683] The Cabinet of St. Petersburg had arrived at the
conclusion that, for the better protection of the southern provinces
of Russia, the question of the Dardanelles should be regulated by some
European agreement. But no compact of that nature would be likely to
endure, unless France were to be made a party to it.[684]
Although it suited Nicholas that France should re-enter the European
Concert, his dislike of Louis Philippe, and of the _régime_ of July
was as strong as ever. Whilst proposing to close the eastern question
with some "final transaction to which France might be invited to
adhere,"[685] he also suggested that the treaty for the pacification
of the Levant should be converted into a quadruple alliance,
"providing against the contingency of an attack by France upon the
liberties of Europe." His main reason, he informed Lord Clanricarde,
for making this proposal, was to establish a close understanding with
Great Britain.[686] Metternich had not "the spirit of a gentleman,"
and neither England nor Russia ought to place any confidence in
him.[687] The British government, however, was unable to entertain the
suggestion. "All formal engagements of the Crown," Lord Clanricarde
was instructed to explain, "must be submitted to Parliament, and
Parliament might not approve of an engagement which should bind
England prospectively." Nor was there any way in which this difficulty
could be overcome. It would not be removed by the verbal agreement
into which the Imperial Cabinet had declared its readiness to enter,
should the constitutional obstacles to the conclusion of a more
formal compact prove insuperable. "A verbal engagement would bind the
ministers who made it, but might be disavowed by their successors,
and thus the Russian government might be led to count upon a system
of policy which might not eventually be pursued. . . . Under these
circumstances," concluded Lord Palmerston, "it seems to Her Majesty's
government that the Cabinet of St. Petersburg should be satisfied to
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