According to the ratio finally decided at the Spa Conference, France,
Great Britain, and Italy are to receive respectively 52, 26, and 10 per
cent of whatever reparations Germany finally pays, while Belgium is a
preferred creditor of Germany, and Italy has a lien on the major part
of Austrian and Hungarian reparations.
The figures are only approximate, for they do not take into account
compounded interest; and there is some doubt as to the propriety of
including the Russian obligations to France, most of which date from
before the war and are owing French nationals and not the French
Government. Roughly speaking, the United States is the largest
creditor, with $11,000,000,000 owing her, while Great Britain follows
a close second, with $10,000,000,000 on her books against Continental
European countries. Great Britain stands to be the heaviest loser;
for the payment of none of her loans is assured, while more than 40
per cent of the American advances is represented by the loan to Great
Britain, arrangements for the paying of which with interest have
already been concluded.
When we consider the short time that the United States was in the war,
its cost was staggering. And we must remember that the United States
lent no money out of surplus, but that her ability to grant the huge
credits to her associates in the World War was due to the successive
Liberty loans and the Victory loan, which are internal obligations the
interest and amortization charges of which are being carried in our
national budget. On the other hand, the money did not actually leave
the country, but was spent by the borrowing Governments for goods and
food-stuffs manufactured and raised in the United States. The repayment
of Great Britain’s debt does not work great hardship either on the
British or ourselves; for Great Britain and her Dominions are large
holders of American securities and have extensive investments in Mexico
and Central and South America. The Continental European belligerents
sold most of their North and South American securities during the war.
The repayment of $6,500,000,000 to the United States would have to
come largely through an excess of exports over imports from the United
States.[28]
The transfer of surpluses of wealth from one country to another is an
economic problem of both reparations and interallied debts that has not
yet been solved. In the midst of all our discussion of the insistence
upon the settlement of reparations and interallied indebtedness, where
is the economist who has shown us how this can be done without the
willingness of French markets to absorb German goods and American
markets to absorb European goods?
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