"The period covered by the report extends from 1st January 1895
to 31st December of the same year. During this time--with the
exception of an interval of three months at the Eastern
Hospital, when its use was suspended; of three months at the
Fountain, and to a considerable extent throughout the year at
the South-Eastern Hospital, when all cases were consecutively
treated, irrespective of their severity--the serum was
administered _only to cases which at the time of admission were
severe, or which threatened to become so_. In a certain number,
the patients being moribund at the time of their arrival, and
beyond the reach of any treatment, no antitoxin was given. _No
change has taken place during the year in the local treatment of
the cases, nor has there been any new factor in the treatment
other than the injection of antitoxin_.
"It must be clearly understood that, with the exceptions
previously stated, it has been the practice at each of the
hospitals to administer serum to _those cases only in which the
symptoms on admission were sufficiently pronounced to give rise
to anxiety, the mild cases not receiving any_.
"_No less than 46.4 per cent. of the antitoxin cases were under
five years of age, against 32.5 per cent. in the non-antitoxin
group_; and only 16.1 per cent. in the former class were over
ten years of age, against 33.8 per cent. in the latter. The high
fatality of diphtheria in the earlier years of life is
notorious.
"It is obvious, therefore, that to compare the mortality of
those treated with antitoxin with that of those which during the
same period were not so treated, would be to institute a
comparison between the severe cases and those of which a large
proportion were mild. This would clearly be misleading.
"The only method by which an accurate estimate can be obtained
as to the merits of any particular form of treatment, is by
comparing a series of cases in which the remedy has been
employed with another series not so treated, but which are
similar, so far as can be, in other respects. This, in the
present instance, is impossible; but, having regard to the fact
that 61.8 of the 1895 cases were treated with serum, an
approximately accurate conclusion can be drawn by contrasting
all cases of diphtheria completed during 1895, the antitoxin
period, with all cases completed during 1894.
"The year 1894 has been selected for the purpose of comparison,
not only because it is the year immediately preceding the
antitoxin period, but because the average severity of the cases
has been, in our opinion, about equal. Moreover, the death-rate
in 1894 was slightly lower than it had been in any previous
year.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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