Fifty years hence: or, What may be in 1943: A prophecy supposed to be based on scientific deductions by an improved graphical method — John Shaqi
Fifty years hence: or, What may be in 1943: A prophecy supposed to be based on scientific deductions by an improved graphical methodGrimshaw, Robert
Science
Fifty years hence: or, What may be in 1943: A prophecy supposed to be based on scientific deductions by an improved graphical method
Grimshaw, Robert
Twentieth century -- Forecasts; Utopias
“In my early life I set about the task of reconciling these
discrepancies by converging lines of testimony; and so satisfactory
were the results, so unerringly was each cause deduced from its many
effects, that I conceived the idea of not only reconciling historical
discrepancies as to occurrences and motives, but reading the future
by continuing each chain of reasoning into the time to come. In
other words, if by my inductive method, more light is thrown on the
occurrences in Babylon, Media, Lydia, Egypt, twenty-five centuries ago,
than by the non-inductive method, upon those at Shiloh, but twenty-five
years past, it should be safer to predict by it the outcomings of the
next generation, than by the usual methods, those of the next spring
or summer. I deemed that ‘by labor and intent study (which I take to
be my portion in this life) joined with the strong propensity of
nature, I might perhaps leave something so written to after times,
that they should not willingly let it die.’ Each year that I continued
my studies, which embraced not only the collection and assimilation
of facts, but their classification and the formation of deductions
therefrom, the more firmly I become impressed with the idea of turning
the electric light of induction along the path of prophecy, rather than
merely illuminating therewith the fogs of history.
“‘I, thus neglecting worldly ends, all dedicated
To closeness, and the bettering of my mind,’
set about this problem. Ample means, an excellent constitution, and
correct and regular habits, have enabled me to accomplish during the
past fifty years--for through so long a time have I been striving for
my object--much more than is given to most men to do, and more even
than I had given myself reason to expect or hope. We now stand in ‘this
narrow isthmus ’twixt two boundless seas, the past, the future, two
eternities.’ I HAVE EXPLORED THEM BOTH.
“But I detect in your manner an impatience which I cannot condemn, and
shall plunge at once into an explanation of my methods, leaving until
later a statement of what I have been able to accomplish thereby.
“It has long been the custom of professional engineers to represent
graphically on sheets of paper ruled in squares, various properties
of matter under regularly-varying conditions. For instance, to show
the electric conductivity of wire at various temperatures, horizontal
strips represent degrees of temperature, and vertical strips, degrees
of conductivity; and if a line connecting points corresponding to
conductivity at various temperatures be convexly curved above, it shows
that conductivity decreases more rapidly than temperature increases. If
the line be straight, it shows that conductivity decreases in the same
ratio as temperature increases. The use of several colored lines, or of
solid and of variously broken or dotted lines, permits comparison of
the conductivity of several metals or alloys.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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