Business; Capitalists and financiers -- United States; Speculation; Wall Street (New York, N.Y.)
“Gentlemen of the Committee on Corners and Futures: Speculation is a
method now adopted for adjusting differences of opinion as to future
values, whether of products or securities. This is more common now than
in former years because the facilities for procuring information have
increased with the greater intelligence and celerity with which all
business is now conducted, and also from the greater rapidity with which
such information can be transmitted by telegraph and cable.
“In former years the results of a crop were known only when it came to
the market. Now almost everything affecting its future value is known
with a fair degree of accuracy before the crop is harvested. This
advanced information naturally becomes the subject of speculative
transactions which could not have existed in former times.
“Speculation brings into play the best intelligence as to the future of
values. It has always two sides. The one that is based principally on
the facts and conditions of the situation wins in the end, and the
result of the conflict is the nearest possible approach to correct
values. The consequences of speculation are thus financially beneficial
to the country at large.
“Speculation for a fall in prices is based upon the presumption of an
over-supply. If it succeeds, the production of the particular product is
checked until prices recover, and in the meantime production is diverted
to articles less abundant. Thus speculation proves a regulator both of
values and production. Speculation for a rise in prices is based upon a
presumption of scarcity or short supply, and its direct effect is to
quicken production and restore the equilibrium of prices.
“‘Corners’ usually come from running speculation to an excessive length,
by which the seller becomes responsible for deliveries beyond what he
can possibly make. He thereby places himself at the mercy of those with
whom he has made the contracts. These exigencies chiefly affect the
speculators themselves, and the community at large but little.
“Extreme prices usually grow out of them, but they are only momentary,
and have small effect upon regular or cash transactions, which
sympathize very remotely with these temporary and artificial quotations.
“Speculation is not to be judged by its occasional excesses, but by the
general effects which the foregoing considerations show to be
beneficial. It regulates production by instantaneously advancing prices
when there is a scarcity, thereby stimulating production, and by
depressing prices when there is over-production. It thus becomes one of
the most beneficial agents in the business world for the prevention of
panics.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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