Foreign investment in the country mysteriously wanes and
waxes - some of it laundered money reinvested in
legitimate businesses. The government is doing a great job
of building up the image of Macedonia as an FDI (Foreign
Direct Investment) destination. But public relations and
perceptions management must be followed by palpable
actions and the new government is woefully short on
concrete steps. It talks the talk but hitherto does not walk
the walk.
The government's attempts to attract foreign investors by
introducing lower taxes may backfire: studies clearly
evince that multinationals worry less about taxation and
more about functioning institutions, a commodity that
Macedonia is irreparably short of. Moreover, vanishingly
lower taxes signal desperation and Macedonia indeed
sounds more desperate than confident. No one wants to
buy the country's leading bank, long on offer. Only one
contender (Mobilkom Austria) entered a bid for
Macedonia's third operator cellular network licence.
On a few occasions, domestic firms, using international
fronts, have bid for local factories, such as the textile plant
"Astibo". The national payment card project has been
guzzled by two banks incestuously close to the outgoing
ruling party, VMRO-DPMNE.
But there are real investments, too. The capital's central
heating utility was purchased by a unidentified French
energy outfit, announced the general manager. The
utility's shares were listed in the Athens stock exchange.
The Macedonian construction firm "Granit" will build a
$59 million highway in Ukraine, with which Macedonia
enjoyed an unusually cordial relationship, to American
chagrin. Johnson Controls and others are eying a string of
free trade zones and infrastructure projects (dams, roads,
railways, oil pipeline). A much hyped Vardar Silicone
Valley is in the works.
The contentious census in the first two weeks of
November 2002, a part of the "Ohrid Framework
Agreement" which ended the internecine fighting the year
before, was conducted fairly. The count showed that
Albanians make c. one quarter of the population rather
than one third, as most Albanians spuriously insisted.
But, with Kosovo's independence looming across the
border, the restive Albanians are likely to coerce the
enfeebled Macedonia into translating this numerical
reality into political and economic clout. The
Macedonians are likely to resist. The West will intervene.
Macedonia is facing a hot spring and a sizzling summer.
LIII. The Macedonian Lottery
Every conflict has its economic moments and dimensions.
The current conflict in Macedonia perhaps even more so.
The USA and its Western allies regard Macedonia as a
bridge between Greece, Bulgaria, Serbia and Albania.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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