When a country is shipping more goods in the form of commodities
than she is receiving, it is said that the _balance of trade is
favorable_. The term “balance of trade” is apt to be misleading. It
is a convenient phrase relating to commodity shipments alone as they
appear on the record of outgoing and incoming ships, which are always
subject to Government inspection and from which a definite and accurate
compilation can be made and is made. If such “balance of trade” runs
against a country the actual balance of commodity _indebtedness_ must
be made up by shipments of gold, securities or transfer of credits.
Outside of commodities which appear in making up the balance of trade
there are a number of invisible factors, not of statistical public
record, which go to determine the extent to which the citizens of
one country may be indebted to those of another, and by which the
international debts are actually settled. These elements are not
absolutely available in the form of statistics and can be only roughly
estimated. Taking the United States as an example, there are certain
factors not tabulated by the Bureau of Statistics at Washington because
their proportions are unknown to the officials. These are the elements
which comprise the invisible factors in determining the settlement of
international debts. The transfer of money or credit from the United
States to other countries (outside of commodities) is accomplished in
the following ways:
FACTORS AFFECTING INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE
1st. The purchase by citizens or corporations in the
United States of securities or properties of any
kind (outside of commodities actually shipped,
otherwise accounted for) in other countries;
2nd. The payment of interest or dividends on American
securities and properties owned by foreigners;
3rd. The payment of loans due foreigners;
4th. The payment of passenger and freight rates to
foreigners owning foreign vessels;
5th. Money expended by Americans touring abroad;
6th. Remittances by foreigners in the United States to
their friends or dependants abroad;
7th. Loans by the United States to foreign countries,
which during this war are reaching gigantic
proportions, or loans by U. S. banks or citizens
to foreigners;
8th. Remittances from the United States to pay for
foreign securities marketed in the United States,
which have reached very large proportions during
this war.
In like manner all of these unrecorded factors or any of them may apply
to any of the foreign countries and transfer money or credits to the
United States. For instance:
1st. The purchase by foreign banking corporations or
individuals of American securities or properties;
2nd. The payment of interest or dividends on foreign
securities or properties held by American
capitalists;
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