Harper's Pictorial Library of the World War, Volume XII : $b The Great Results of the War
History
Harper's Pictorial Library of the World War, Volume XII : $b The Great Results of the War
League of Nations; Treaty of Versailles (1919 June 28); World War, 1914-1918; World War, 1914-1918 -- Economic aspects; World War, 1914-1918 -- Finance
This order--of ascending prices and of inflated currency--is as follows,
beginning with the least rise and inflation: India, Australia, New
Zealand, United States, Canada, Japan, Sweden, Switzerland, Denmark,
Italy, Holland, England, Norway, France, Germany, Austria and Russia.
[Illustration: Figure 3.
Money and the Price Level
Showing a correspondence between the quantity of money and the level of
prices. Since the middle of 1915, when the quantity of money in the
United States began to be greatly affected by the war, the
correspondence has been close, changes in the price level seeming
usually to follow changes in the quantity of money one to three months
later.]
The ups and downs of prices correspond with the ups and downs of the
money supply. Throughout all history this has been so. For this general
statement there is sufficient evidence even where we lack the index
numbers by which to make accurate measurements. Whenever there have
been new discoveries of gold and rapid outpourings from mines, prices
have gone up with corresponding rapidity. This was observed in the 16th
century, after great quantities of the precious metals had been brought
to Europe from the Americas; and again in the 19th century, after the
Californian and Australian gold finds of the fifties; and still again,
in the same century after the South African, Alaskan and Cripple Creek
mining of the nineties.
Likewise when other causes than mining, such as paper money issues,
produce violent changes in the quantity or quality of money, violent
changes in the price level usually follow.
COMMENTS ON FIGURE 3
The World War furnishes important examples of this. In the United States
the curve for the quantity of money in circulation and the curve for the
index number of prices run continuously parallel, the price curve
following the money curve after a lag of one to three months. It was in
August, 1915, that the quantity of money in the United States began its
rapid increase. One month later prices began to shoot upward, keeping
almost exact pace with the quantity of money. In February, 1916, money
suddenly stopped increasing, and two or three months later prices
stopped likewise. As figure 3 shows, similar striking correspondences
have continued to occur with an average lag between the money cause and
the price effect of apparently about one and three-quarters months.
On the whole, the money in circulation in the United States rose from
three and one-third billions in 1913 to five and a half billions in
1918, and bank deposits from thirteen to twenty-five billions, both
approximately corresponding to the rise in prices.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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