Now what we have here to remark is this;--that in no case
can experience prove a proposition to be _necessarily_ or
_universally_ true. However many instances we may have
observed of the truth of a proposition, yet if it be known
merely by observation, there is nothing to assure us that
the next case shall not be an exception to the rule. If it
be strictly true that every ruminant animal yet known has
cloven hoofs, we {66} still cannot be sure that some
creature will not hereafter be discovered which has the
first of these attributes without having the other. When the
planets and their satellites, as far as Saturn, had been all
found to move round the sun in one direction, it was still
possible that there might be other such bodies not obeying
this rule; and, accordingly, when the satellites of Uranus
were detected, they appeared to offer an exception of this
kind. Even in the mathematical sciences, we have examples of
such rules suggested by experience, and also of their
precariousness. However far they may have been tested, we
cannot depend upon their correctness, except we see some
reason for the rule. For instance, various rules have been
given, for the purpose of pointing out _prime numbers_; that
is, those which cannot be divided by any other number. We
may try, as an example of such a rule, this one--any odd
power of the number two, diminished by one. Thus the third
power of two, diminished by one, is seven; the fifth power,
diminished by one, is thirty-one; the seventh power so
diminished is one hundred and twenty-seven. All these are
prime numbers: and we might be led to suppose that the rule
is universal. But the next example shows us the
fallaciousness of such a belief. The ninth power of two,
diminished by one, is five hundred and eleven, which is not
a prime, being divisible by seven.
Experience must always consist of a limited number of
observations. And, however numerous these may be, they can
show nothing with regard to the infinite number of cases in
which the experiment has not been made. Experience being
thus unable to prove a fact to be universal, is, as will
readily be seen, still more incapable of proving a truth to
be necessary. Experience cannot, indeed, offer the smallest
ground for the necessity of a proposition. She can observe
and record what has happened; but she cannot find, in any
case, or in any accumulation of cases, any reason for what
must happen. She may see objects side by side; but she
cannot see a reason why they must ever be side by side. She
finds certain events to occur in succession; but the
succession supplies, in its occurrence, no {67} reason for
its recurrence. She contemplates external objects; but she
cannot detect any internal bond, which indissolubly connects
the future with the past, the possible with the real. To
learn a proposition by experience, and to see it to be
necessarily true, are two altogether different processes of
thought.
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