If Not Silver, What?Bookwalter, John W. (John Wesley)
History
If Not Silver, What?
Bookwalter, John W. (John Wesley)
Silver question
trading property such as ships, factories, and warehouses. A prudent
trader usually considers it safe to draw considerably beyond his floating
capital, and to borrow say 50 per cent. upon his plant or a fixed capital.
Now, the constant decline in prices within the last few years has
virtually swept away his own portion of the capital, and only left him
enough to pay the loans and mortgages. For instance, a ship or a factory
built at a cost of twenty thousand pounds, of which ten thousand were
borrowed, is now worth only twelve thousand pounds, or 40 per cent. less;
and so the mortgage represents five-sixths of the value instead of
one-half, the trader's interest having sunk to two thousand pounds in
place of ten thousand. Probably, if trade is unprofitable, he fails to pay
the interest and the mortgage is foreclosed; the property is forced off at
just sufficient to cover the loan and he is ruined. I have no doubt that
this exactly describes the condition that confronts numbers of traders in
this country and other countries having the gold standard. A great portion
of the commercial capital of the country has passed into the hands of the
mortgagees and bondholders who have neither toiled or spun. The
discouragement this state of things produces is intense. After it has gone
on for several years, a kind of hopelessness oppresses the commercial
community, all enterprise comes to a standstill, many works are closed,
labor is thrown out of employment, and great distress is felt, both among
laborers and the humbler middle class. Indeed, it strikes higher than
this; for multitudes of people who were once prosperous traders have now
become dependent on charity. I know many such myself."
How fitly that describes the condition of the United States to-day. This
was written some years ago, and so rapid has been the subsequent decline
in prices that it almost equals the decline he had estimated for the
fifteen or twenty years preceding the date of his work. And the end is not
yet.
In his comments upon Mr. Goschen's address, delivered in 1883, wherein he
pointed out that in the decade from 1873 to 1883 the annual supply of gold
had decreased in a marked degree, and concurrent with this there was a
marked increase in the demands upon the world's stock of gold, which was
intensified by the substitution of gold for silver as money in Germany and
other countries, Mr. Smith makes the following observations:
"The gold production, which for some years exceeded L30,000,000
annually, has fallen to 19,000,000 a year; and the best
continental authorities, such as Soetbeer and Laveleye, reckon
that more than half that amount is consumed in the arts.
"It may, therefore, be reckoned that since 1873 only some
10,000,000 on the average has been available for currency
purposes.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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