6. With the use of substitutes for gold I will deal in Chapter IV. in
treating of the proper position of gold in the Indian system. But what
props are commonly brought to the support of an “ineffective” Bank
Rate in countries other than Great Britain? Roughly speaking, there
are three. A very large gold reserve may be maintained, so that a
substantial drain on it may be faced with equanimity; free payments in
gold may be partially suspended; or foreign credits and bills may be
kept which can be drawn upon when necessary. The Central Banks of most
European countries depend (in varying degrees) upon all three.
The Bank of France uses the first two,[6] and her holdings of foreign
bills are not, at normal times, important.[7] Her bank rate is not
fixed primarily with a view to foreign conditions, and a change in it
is usually intended to affect home affairs (though these may of course
depend and react on foreign affairs).
Germany is in a state of transition, and her present position is
avowedly unsatisfactory. The theory of her arrangements seems to be
that she depends on her bank rate after the British model; but in
practice her bank rate is not easily rendered effective, and must
usually be reinforced by much unseen pressure by the Reichsbank on
the other elements of the money market. Her gold reserve is not large
enough for the first expedient to be used lightly. Free payment in
gold is sometimes, in effect, partially suspended,[8] though covertly
and with shame. To an increasing extent the Reichsbank depends on
variations in her holding of foreign bills and credits. A few years ago
such holdings were of small importance. The table given below shows
with what rapidity the part taken by foreign bills and credits in the
finance of the Reichsbank has been growing. The authorities of the
Reichsbank have now learnt that their position in the international
short loan market is not one which permits them to fix the bank rate
and then idly to await the course of events.
REICHSBANK’S HOLDINGS OF FOREIGN BILLS (EXCLUDING CREDITS).
┌─────────┬─────────────────────┬───────────────┬────────────────┐
│ │ Average for Year. │ Maximum. │ Minimum. │
├─────────┼─────────────────────┼───────────────┼────────────────┤
│ 1895 │ £120,000 │ £152,000 │ £100,000 │
│ 1900 │ 1,270,000 │ 3,540,000 │ 160,000 │
│ 1905 │ 1,580,000 │ 2,490,000 │ 970,000 │
│ 1906 │ 2,060,000 │ 2,990,000 │ 830,000 │
│ 1907 │ 2,223,000 │ 3,000,000 │ 1,130,000 │
│ 1908 │ 3,544,000 │ 6,366,000 │ 977,800 │
│ 1909 │ 5,362,000 │ 7,978,000 │ 2,824,800 │
│ 1910(a) │ 7,032,000 │ 8,855,000 │ 4,893,300 │
└─────────┴─────────────────────┴───────────────┴────────────────┘
(a): Since 1910 these figures have not been stated in the Reichsbank’s
annual reports.
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