Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Plague appeared in the north of China in 1917, originating apparently in
inner Mongolia. The spread extended over quite an area, and it is
reported that this epidemic of pneumonic plague has been more extensive
than any since that of 1910–11. The disease was first reported prevalent
in Patsebolong December 6, 1917. The diagnosis was confirmed
bacteriologically, and there can be little doubt but that the cases of
plague reported in various parts of China even up to March 18th were
true plague, and not unrecognized influenza.
SECTION III.
In the following section of our report we shall have frequent occasion
to refer to a series of investigations conducted by the author in the
City of Boston during the 1920 influenza epidemic. We will explain in
some detail at this point the nature of the work done and the methods
used, in order that the subsequent references will be readily
intelligible.
AN INVESTIGATION OF INFLUENZA IN BOSTON DURING THE WINTER OF 1920.
Following every widespread epidemic interest centers in the question as
to how much havoc the disease has wrought, what proportion of the
population fell victim, and how many of these died. With regard to
influenza the vital statistics of all countries are decidedly
insufficient in furnishing this information.
In nearly all countries influenza is not a reportable disease. Usually,
as was the case in the United States in 1918, the disease was made
reportable during the epidemic, but this took effect usually at least
two weeks after the epidemic had started in a community. Further, there
is probably not a single community in which the reported cases of
influenza reach to anywhere near the total of actual cases. The question
of diagnosis, which is not always easy even in the presence of a
pandemic, causes some physicians to hesitate to report cases. Other
physicians “play safe” and report nearly everything as influenza.
Finally, in the period of an epidemic, the physicians are so pressed
with caring for the sick that they very naturally neglect to report
cases as they occur.
It becomes necessary, therefore, in collecting evidence in civil
populations, of the morbidity and fatality from influenza, to obtain
additional information to that available to the Health Officer.
The method which may be relied upon to give the most accurate data
consists in house-to-house surveys made soon after an epidemic, in which
competent inspectors obtain detailed information concerning the illness
or freedom from illness of every individual in the areas canvassed. The
majority of individuals interviewed will not have had the disease, and
it is therefore essential that in such a census a large enough
population be covered that the resulting figures will be truly
representative of the population at large.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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