Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
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Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Once again, Frost gives the most comprehensive discussion of the
subject. He found, as we have stated, that the influenza case incidence
in persons over fifteen years of age was higher in females than in
males, and that in persons under fifteen the relative incidence as
between males and females is variable, but with very slight excess in
males for the localities studied, combined. On the other hand, the case
fatality, the per cent. of influenza cases dying, under fifteen years of
age, was higher in females than in males. Over sixty years of age it was
considerably higher among the females, but between the ages of fifteen
and sixty the general tendency was to a much higher case fatality among
the males. The difference was greatest between the ages of 20 and 40.
The case fatality between the ages of 15 and 45 in the group of southern
and central states was in decided contrast to that in the Northern
Atlantic and Pacific groups, the case fatality in the former being
remarkably low in both sections and slightly higher in females than in
males. He suggests that in the south and middle west where the epidemic
was generally milder in respect to mortality than in the northeast and
far west, the essential difference was not in case incidence, but in
case fatality, especially in persons from 15 to 45 years of age, and in
the relatively low case fatality among young male adults. Frost makes
the important point that the relative mortality is determined more
accurately by case fatality than by case incidence, and that without a
full and exact knowledge of the variations in case fatality, statistics
of mortality are by no means translatable to terms of relative
morbidity. The fact that certain cities showed, as described by Pearl,
relatively high mortality rates, does not give conclusive evidence that
the morbidity was higher in these cities than elsewhere. The lower
influenza case fatality in females from 15 to 60 years of age appears to
be accounted for in part at least: first, by a decreased incidence of
pneumonia as compared with the males; and, second, by a lower fatality
in those cases which did develop pneumonia.
The relatively small number of fatalities in our own records do not
warrant a classification by age groups. We found that for all ages in
1918 7.9 per cent. of females developed pneumonia as contrasted with 6.8
per cent. males. This does not include those who died. In 1920, 1.87 per
cent. of the male cases died, while only 0.37 per cent. of the females
died. Five and fifteen-hundredths per cent. of all male cases developed
pneumonia and recovered, and 3.56 of the females did likewise. In 1920 a
higher proportion of males than females developed pneumonia, and
likewise a higher proportion died.
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