Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Garvie, in reporting his personal experiences with influenza in 1918 in
an industrial area in England, experiences not based on statistical
study, concludes that there are two types of cases, the sporadic case
which occurs mainly among the wage-earning members of the family and has
little tendency to affect other members of the household, and second,
the type of case where a large number of individuals in the household
are affected. He called this the “household wave.” If we interpret him
aright he really means that there are either single or multiple cases,
and that the single cases are more apt to occur in the wage-earner, the
individual who is more exposed on the outside of the household. He also
believes that the household wave is more severe in character than the
so-called sporadic case, and is accompanied by a greater number of
complications.
Armstrong, in his survey in Framingham, examined influenza
convalescents. He found that of these 10 per cent. were in families in
which no other cases had developed, and 87 per cent. were in families
where one or more additional cases had occurred. In three per cent.
information was lacking.
It is important in studying the literature on this subject to
distinguish between definitely established fact and less definite
description. Thus one is still left in some doubt when one reads in a
London letter in the Journal of the American Medical Association for
1915 concerning the epidemic in London at that time that, “whenever it
has seized an individual it has usually run through the entire
household. Whole offices have succumbed.”
_The first case in the family._—Chart XXVII shows clearly that in both
epidemics in our experience the wage-earner was much more frequently the
first case in a family than was any other occupation. The individuals
whose occupations kept them at home were second. Infants, as was to be
expected, were recorded as being “first case” in the smallest number of
instances.
In 1889 the distribution was practically the same. Parsons found that
out of 125 households the first case was a bread-winner in 96; a
housekeeper in nine; a child at school in thirteen; a child not at
school in two families. In the last five families the first case was in
adults, occupation not given. This order is identical with our own.
Neither our own observations nor those of Parsons consider the relative
proportions of wage earners in the population as a whole. The results
are nevertheless suggestive.
H. F. Vaughan reached comparable results for the 1920 epidemic in
Detroit. During the first few weeks the age groups from 20 to 29 showed
a relatively much more frequent influenza incidence than did children up
to ten years. In later weeks of the epidemic there was a relative
increase in the incidence among children and decrease among young
adults. He concluded that the disease first attacks the young adult and
from this group it extends into the home.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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