Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study — John Shaqi
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Parkes, writing in Reynolds’ System of Medicine in 1876, views the
subject more as we see it today: “The rapidity of the spread would seem
at once to negative any connection between human intercourse and the
propagation of the disease; yet there is some affirmative evidence. It
does not appear to follow the great lines of commerce; but when it has
entered towns and villages in which the investigation can be carried on,
it is curious how frequently the first cases have been introduced, and
how often the townspeople nearest the invalids have been first affected.
In this country especially, Haygarth in 1775 and 1782, and Falconer in
1802, collected so many instances of this that they became convinced
that its propagation was due entirely to human intercourse. So also,
when it passes through a house, it occasionally attacks one person after
another. But if it is introduced in this way it afterwards develops with
marvelous rapidity, for we cannot discredit the accounts of many
thousands of persons being attacked within a day or two, which is quite
different from the comparatively slow spread of the contagious diseases.
This _sudden_ invasion of a community makes it, to many persons, appear
highly improbable that any effluvia passing off from the sick should
thus so rapidly contaminate the atmosphere of a whole town.
“Still, we must remember how singularly, of late years, the knowledge of
the introduction of cholera by persons coming from infected districts
has increased, and how very striking are the instances of this kind
already recorded in several works on influenza.
“In some cases, again, isolation or seclusion of a community, as in
prisons, has given immunity; or at least that community has not been
attacked.”
The great rapidity of spread has caused even in 1918 some temporary
doubt as to the contagiousness of the disease. Thus, Zinsser wrote:
“The opinion of direct and indirect transmission from man to man is also
well supported by a detailed study of the epidemiology of individual
outbreaks. In our own experience with epidemics such as those at
Chaumont, Baccarat and other places, the suddenness with which the
malady attacked large numbers of people at almost one and the same time,
caused me at first to be exceedingly skeptical of accepting transmission
by contact as the only means of conveyance. We considered food and
insect transmission as possibilities, and tried our best to find grounds
for involving such agencies. But in every case we were forced to return
to the conclusion that direct and indirect contact between men came
nearest to doing justice to all observed facts.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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