Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
Leichtenstern describes the subsequent spread of the disease: “The
transfer of the disease by ships which played such an important role in
the first epidemic appeared to be insignificant in 1891, in spite of the
fact that influenza was present in many of the English colonies. The
third real epidemic spread of influenza was a true pandemic which began
in the autumn (October) of 1891 and lasted through the whole winter
until the spring of 1892. It involved all of Europe and North America
and spread to all other lands, but here again the geographic
distribution followed no rule. There was no spread of influenza from a
central point, no continuous spread following lines of communication,
and there was no longer an early predominance in the cities lying on the
lines of communication or in the larger cities and commercial centers,
as had been the case in the first epidemic. In England in 1891 the first
outbreaks occurred frequently in country districts. The epidemic raged
nearly four months in the northern part before it finally reached London
in May. The same was true of Australia.
“One peculiarity of the recurrent epidemic lay in the much more
contagious character of the disease and the remarkably greater
mortality. In Sheffield the mortality in the recurrent epidemic was
greater than in the pandemic, even though the epidemic picture was that
of a primary wave.”
By way of summary of our knowledge of the primary and secondary spread
in general up to the epidemic of 1918, we may enumerate the more
important characteristics:
1. Occurrence of true pandemics at wide intervals, primarily intervals
of several decades.
2. Indefinite knowledge and conflicting evidence regarding site and
manner of origin.
3. Apparent transmission chiefly or entirely through human intercourse.
4. Rapid spread over all countries, the rapidity roughly paralleling the
speed of human travel.
5. Rapid evolution of the disease in the communities where outbreaks
occur, with nearly equally rapid subsidence after several weeks’
duration.
6. Apparent lack of dependance on differences of wind or weather,
seasons or climate.
7. Generally low mortality in contrast to enormous morbidity. Variation
in the incidence of disastrous secondary infections.
8. Tendency to successive recurrences at short intervals.
SECTION II.
INFLUENZA EPIDEMICS SINCE 1893.
In this section of our report we will describe with as great accuracy as
our sources of information will permit, and in as great detail as space
will allow the events which have led up to the epidemics of 1918–20 and
the various phases of the epidemics themselves. Points of similarity
with previous epidemics will be made obvious; the differences, when of
significance, will be described and studied in detail.
OCCURRENCE SINCE 1893.
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