Influenza : $b An epidemiologic studyVaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
History
Influenza : $b An epidemiologic study
Vaughan, Warren T. (Warren Taylor)
Influenza
In the absence of comparable statistics for Massachusetts in 1917 and
1918, Frost has studied for those years certain other localities,
particularly Cleveland, San Francisco and New York City. The mortality
in all of these places, as well as in Massachusetts, was fairly regular
from 1910 to 1915, but in December of the latter year and January of
1916 there occurred in New York and Cleveland a sudden sharp rise in
mortality. This was not shown distinctly in the San Francisco curve, but
it was a rise which was almost universal and synchronous over the entire
registration area. It is of interest as indicating the operation of some
definite and widespread factor, and suggesting in this group of diseases
an epidemic tendency which is perhaps, as Frost remarks, not
sufficiently appreciated. In January of 1916 he found that influenza was
reported to be epidemic in twenty-two states, including all sections of
the country. The epidemic was very mild. In the early spring of 1918
there was another sharp rise, which we shall discuss in greater detail
later.
_Increase in 1900–1901._—Reference to Frost’s chart for Massachusetts
shows that there was also a rise in the curve around 1900. At this time
influenza was quite widely disseminated. Early in 1901 the Marine
Hospital Service made a canvass of all the states and several foreign
countries to determine the epidemic prevalence of influenza. The results
of the canvass were published in the Public Health Reports. The records
lack the detail, particularly in the description of clinical symptoms,
that is desirable in arriving at an identification, but the universal
agreement from all individuals reporting, in the comparatively high
morbidity and remarkably low mortality, together with the widespread
distribution, and the duration of the local epidemic leaves little doubt
as to the identity.
Influenza was reported present in October of 1900 in Los Angeles,
Milwaukee and New Orleans. In November it became prevalent in Toledo and
Cincinnati and in New York City. In December the disease was present in
Chicago, Albany, Philadelphia, San Francisco, Denver, Baltimore, Grand
Rapids, Columbus, O., Portland, Me., Detroit, Albuquerque and Omaha. In
January it was reported in New Haven, Boston, Washington, D. C.,
Indianapolis, Louisville, Ky., Wilmington, Del., Portland, Ore., and
Juneau, Alaska.
Although the disease was mild, in some localities a high proportion of
the population was attacked. Thus in New Haven it was estimated that 10
per cent. developed the disease, and in Los Angeles 20 per cent., while
in Wilmington, 40,000 were estimated to have become ill. In certain
small towns in Texas the incidence was especially high. In Pittsburgh,
Texas, ten per cent.; Laredo, 15 to 20 per cent.; Hearne, 50 per cent.;
and El Paso, 50 per cent. were attacked. The duration of the epidemic in
most localities was from four to six weeks.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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