Is Mars habitable? A critical examination of Professor Percival Lowell's book "Mars and its canals," with an alternative explanationWallace, Alfred Russel
Science
Is Mars habitable? A critical examination of Professor Percival Lowell's book "Mars and its canals," with an alternative explanation
Wallace, Alfred Russel
Lowell, Percival, 1855-1916. Mars and its canals; Mars (Planet)
But as this result has been held to be both improbable in itself and
founded on no valid evidence, he has now, in the _London, Edinburgh, and
Dublin Philosophical Magazine_ of July 1907, published an elaborate
paper of 15 pages, entitled _A General Method for Evaluating the
Surface-Temperatures of the Planets; with special reference to the
Temperature of Mars_, by Professor Percival Lowell; and in this paper,
by what purports to be strict mathematical reasoning based on the most
recent discoveries as to the laws of heat, as well as on measurements or
estimates of the various elements and constants used in the
calculations, he arrives at a conclusion strikingly accordant with that
put forward in the recently published volume. Having myself neither
mathematical nor physical knowledge sufficient to enable me to criticise
this elaborate paper, except on a few points, I will here limit myself
to giving a short account of it, so as to explain its method of
procedure; after which I may add a few notes on what seem to me doubtful
points; while I also hope to be able to give the opinions of some more
competent critics than myself.
_Mr. Lowell's Mode of Estimating the Surface-temperature of Mars._
The author first states, that Professor Young, in his _General
Astronomy_ (1898), makes the mean temperature of Mars 223.6° absolute,
by using Newton's law of heat being radiated in proportion to
temperature, and 363° abs. (=-96° F.) by Dulong and Petit's law; but
adds, that a closer determination has been made by Professor Moulton,
using Stefan's law, that radiation is as the _/4th_ power of the
temperature, whence results a mean temperature of-31° F. These estimates
assume identity of atmospheric conditions of Mars and the Earth.
But as none of these estimates take account of the many complex factors
which interfere with such direct and simple calculations, Mr. Lowell
then proceeds to enunciate them, and work out mathematically the effects
they produce:
(1) The whole radiant energy of the sun on striking a planet becomes
divided as follows: Part is reflected back into space, part absorbed by
the atmosphere, part transmitted to the surface of the planet. This
surface again reflects a portion and only the balance left goes to warm
the planet.
(2) To solve this complex problem we are helped by the _albedoes_ or
intrinsic brilliancy of the planets, which depend on the proportion of
the visible rays which are reflected and which determines the
comparative brightness of their respective surfaces. We also have to
find the ratio of the invisible to the visible rays and the heating
power of each.
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