Japan and the Pacific, and a Japanese View of the Eastern QuestionInagaki, Manjiro
History
Japan and the Pacific, and a Japanese View of the Eastern Question
Inagaki, Manjiro
Eastern question (Balkan); Europe -- History -- 1871-1918; Japan -- Politics and government
Without doubt the construction of the Trans-Caspian Railway and its
threatening results have proved of immense value for the success of
Russia. By its means England was induced to turn her attention from Asia
Minor to Indian affairs. This resulted in embroiling England with the
second Afghan War, compelled her to appoint a boundary commission, and
plunged her into the third Burmese War. All these catastrophes compelled
her to neglect her Anglo-Turkish Convention promises—a result aimed at
by her Russian friends(?)
Even in Persia English influence is at a discount, and proportionately
Russian influence is rising. The appointment of Sir H. D. Wolff, a
clever diplomatist, to the Teheran Court, and the brilliant reception
accorded to the Shah during his recent visit by the English, were too
late to do any good. It may do good, and it may not.
Let us now see what effect upon Austria the Russo-Asiatic policy had.
Firstly, Austria had been left alone to cope with Russia in the Balkans,
and she was practicably left to defend the Ottoman Empire. France and
Germany were practicably disarmed, and were unable materially, to assist
Turkey against Russia. England, as we have seen before, was occupied
elsewhere, and had practically deserted Asia Minor, although this might
be altered if only she would station troops at Cyprus or somewhere near
at hand. Austria did not wish for a naval alliance only, which she
considered practically useless in event of war, but she wanted a
complete alliance. An alliance between the two Powers failed at the
Berlin Congress, and also in October, 1886.
Thus Russia obtained her desires in dividing the two Powers in Europe
and Asia, and prevented a general alliance by threatening Central Asia.
Certainly Austria had performed her Balkan duty well, although she was
clearly overweighted, and the result was internal exhaustion, financial
difficulties, social discontent, the result of pecuniary troubles.[101]
Of all the great European cities, the socialists are at the present
moment strongest in Vienna. An able political writer of the present day
has said: “The Dualism of the Monarchy (Austria-Hungary) is very nearly
dead, and if Austria is to exist at all she must rapidly become
tripartite, and ultimately resolve herself into a somewhat loose
confederation.”[102]
These domestic difficulties have caused her to gradually lose her
influence in the Balkans, and the abdication of King Milan of Servia has
proved a still more serious blow to her power in that quarter.
It seems to me impolitic for Russia to go to war with the five million
Magyars. It would be better to influence Austria so as to increase her
internal discords and foster them by skilful diplomacy if she wished to
attain her objects. For instance, to demonstrate against the accession
of Prince Ferdinand to the Bulgarian throne, to oppose the Bulgarian
loans, and give pecuniary help herself to immigrants from Montenegro to
Servia.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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