At the same time, I guard myself against intimating any opinion on the
particular minutiæ of this last effort of institutional invention. I do
not know enough to form a judgment; I sedulously, at present, confine
myself to this one remark, that the new Government of France belongs,
in theory at least, to the right class of Constitutions—the class
that is most exactly suited to French habits, French nature, French
social advantages, French social dangers—the class I mean, in which the
representative body has a consultative, a deliberative, a checking and a
minatory—not as with us a supreme, nearly an omnipotent, and exclusively
initiatory function.
I am, yours, &c.
AMICUS.
P.S.—You may like five words on a French invasion. I can’t myself
imagine, and what is more to the point, I do not observe that anybody
here has any notion of, any such inroad into England as was contemplated
and proposed by General Changarnier. No one in the actual conduct of
affairs, with actual responsibility for affairs, not, as the event
proved, even Ledru Rollin, could, according to me, encounter the risk and
odium of such a hateful and horribly dangerous attempt. But, I regret
to add, there is a contingency which sensible people here (so far as I
have had the means of judging) do not seem to regard as at all beyond the
limits of rational probability, by which a war between England and France
would most likely be superinduced; that is, a French invasion of Belgium.
I do not mean to assure you that this week or next the Prince-President
will make a razzia in Brussels. But I do mean that it is thought not
improbable that somehow or other, on some wolf-and-the-lamb pretext,
he may pick a quarrel with King Leopold, and endeavour to restore to
the French the ‘natural limit’ of the Rhine. Now, I have never seen the
terms of the guarantee which the shrewd and cautious Leopold exacted
from England before he would take the throne of Belgium; but as the
only real risk was a French aggression upon this tempting territory, I
do not make any doubt but that the expressions of that instrument bind
us to go to war in defence of the country whose limits and independence
we have guaranteed. And in this case, an invasion of England would be
as admissible a military movement as an invasion of France. I hope,
therefore, you will use your best rhetoric to induce people to put our
pleasant country in a state of adequate and tolerable defence.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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