Meteorology: The Science of the AtmosphereTalman, Charles Fitzhugh
Science
Meteorology: The Science of the Atmosphere
Talman, Charles Fitzhugh
Meteorology
The period of time covered by an official weather forecast is
generally from one to two days. In this country the morning forecast
is ordinarily for 36 hours from 8 a. m., and the evening forecast for
48 hours from 8 p. m., but occasionally the period is extended for an
additional day. For some years the Weather Bureau has issued every
Saturday a forecast in quite general terms relating to the whole of
the following week. These long-range forecasts are made for extensive
areas of the country, such as the North and Middle Atlantic States, the
Ohio Valley and Tennessee, and the Great Lakes region. “From the weekly
forecast,” says an official publication, “a farmer may know whether
it is safe to cut his hay at the beginning of the week or whether
it would be better to wait till the last of the week; and a produce
dealer may know whether it is safe, at a particular time in the early
spring, to start a carload of strawberries to a northern market.” The
British Meteorological Office follows a more cautious plan. Its regular
forecasts are for twenty-four hours, but occasionally, when conditions
are fairly settled, announcements are made of what is termed the
“further outlook.” The same office sends notices to the agricultural
districts when a spell of fine weather, favorable for haying or the
like, appears to be on the programme.
There are a few official meteorological establishments that have
embarked on much more ambitious undertakings in long-range forecasting.
The classic example is furnished by the Indian Meteorological
Department, which has issued seasonal forecasts of rainfall ever since
1882. These were originally based upon reports of the snowfall in
the Himalaya, abnormalities of which, as noted in the spring, appear
to be related to the intensity of the subsequent monsoon rainfall.
Eventually the Indian meteorologists began to seek in more remote
regions for clues to the character of the Indian seasons, and they
believe they have found them; the barometric pressure in South America
and at Mauritius, the rainfall at Zanzibar and Seychelles, the Nile
flood, and summer rains in Australia all seems to bear some relation to
meteorological conditions in India.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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