Meteorology: The Science of the AtmosphereTalman, Charles Fitzhugh
Science
Meteorology: The Science of the Atmosphere
Talman, Charles Fitzhugh
Meteorology
“The commodity markets are in a state of nervous expectancy as the time
approaches for the official forecasts, because great values are at
stake. It has been estimated that in the case of the cotton crop alone
an error in the forecasts which should lead to a depression of one cent
a pound in the price of cotton-lint would--assuming a crop equal to
that of 1914--entail a loss of eighty million dollars to the farmers.
The vast values at stake and the dangers when no official estimate
is available of the manipulation of the markets in the interest of
speculators are held to justify the large recurrent annual cost of the
employment of the numerous correspondents, clerks, and experts.”
Professor Moore is one of those who have pointed out that the forecasts
based upon the actual condition of the growing crops can be vastly
improved by a mathematical analysis of the weather reports from the
various regions in which the crops are grown. In fact, he goes so far
as to assert that much better forecasts can be made from the weather
reports alone than from reports on the condition of the crops. Whether
or not this view is unduly optimistic, it goes without saying that the
precise data which agricultural meteorology is now acquiring cannot
fail to enhance greatly the accuracy of crop forecasts.
Of course, the weather has always been watched with keen interest by
everybody concerned with the purchase or sale of agricultural products
and has been one of the chief factors determining the rise and fall of
prices. At produce exchanges throughout the United States daily weather
bulletins are received from the agricultural districts, and at many of
them a large weather map is drawn every morning by an employee of the
Weather Bureau detailed for this purpose. The Bureau has made various
other arrangements for supplying the information that is so eagerly
desired concerning the weather as it affects crops, as well as the
animal industries. During the “growing season” in the cotton, corn,
wheat, sugar, rice, broom-corn and cattle-producing areas, designated
centers receive telegraphic reports of rainfall and the daily extremes
of temperature from substations in the regions concerned, and these are
distributed in bulletin form. Each local center, besides publishing
detailed reports from its own area, issues condensed reports from all
the others. The Bureau also issues every week during the agricultural
season a “National Weather and Crop Bulletin,” with text and charts
setting forth the current conditions of moisture, temperature, etc.,
and the state of the crops in all parts of the country.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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