Meteorology: The Science of the AtmosphereTalman, Charles Fitzhugh
Science
Meteorology: The Science of the Atmosphere
Talman, Charles Fitzhugh
Meteorology
The use which dealers and farmers make of these weather reports is,
however, very far from having been reduced to science. Some of these
persons, it is true, are frequently able, by a purely instinctive
process of deduction, to make successful forecasts of crop yields from
a close study of the weather, and others have worked out crude rules
of their own for the same purpose; but the agricultural meteorologist
approaches the problem in a different way. Immense progress has
been made in the past decade in applying the mathematical theory of
_correlation_ to this problem. This branch of mathematics, originally
developed chiefly for statistical studies in biology by Galton,
Pearson, and others, is now extensively used by meteorologists not only
for studying the effects of weather on crops, but also for finding
out what correspondences or relationships exist between variations of
weather in different parts of the world, as well as between weather and
sun spots, weather and vital statistics, etc.
Sometimes, when the farmers do not disagree on the subject of
favorable and unfavorable weather for the crops, they hold opinions
in common that agricultural meteorology is unable to substantiate. An
illustration is found in the idea that a good covering of snow during
the winter is favorable to the yield of winter wheat. Apparently this
is one of the host of popular ideas that are based merely on the
delusive foundation of “everybody says so.” Smith has investigated the
statistics of wheat for Ohio and C. J. Root those for Illinois. In both
cases their results negative the prevailing opinion. Professor Smith
finds “some evidence to indicate that wheat has a better prospect if
it is not covered by snow during the month of January,” while Mr. Root
states that, in general, “the winters of light snowfall are followed by
good wheat yields and the winters of heavy snowfall by light yields.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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