“In 1843 a return was laid on the table of the House of the
commitments and executions for murder in England and Wales during the
thirty years ending with December 1842, divided into five periods of
six years each. It shows that in the last six years, from 1836 to
1842, during which there were only 50 executions, the commitments for
murder were fewer by 61 than in the six years preceding with 74
executions; fewer by 63 than in the six years ending 1830 with 75
executions; fewer by 56 than in the six years ending 1824 with 94
executions; and fewer by 93 than in the six years ending 1818 when
there was no less a number of executions than 122. But it may be
said, perhaps, that in the inference we draw from this return, we are
substituting cause for effect, and that in each successive cycle, the
number of murders decreased in consequence of the example of public
executions in the cycle immediately preceding, and that it was for
that reason there were fewer commitments. This might be said with
some colour of truth, if the example had been taken from two
successive cycles _only_. But when the comparative examples adduced
are of no less than _five_ successive cycles, and the result
gradually and constantly progressive in the same direction, the
relation of facts to each other is determined beyond all ground for
dispute, namely, that the number of these crimes has diminished in
consequence of the diminution of the number of executions. More
especially when it is also remembered that it was _immediately after_
the first of these cycles of five years, when there had been the
greatest number of executions and the greatest number of murders,
that the greatest number of persons were suddenly cast loose upon the
country, without employ, by the reduction of the Army and Navy; that
then came periods of great distress and great disturbance in the
agricultural and manufacturing districts; and _above all_, that it
was during the subsequent cycles that the most important mitigations
were effected in the law, and that the Punishment of Death was taken
away not only for crimes of stealth, such as cattle and horse
stealing and forgery, of which crimes corresponding statistics show
likewise a corresponding decrease, but for the crimes of violence
too, _tending to murder_, such as are many of the incendiary
offences, and such as are highway robbery and burglary. But another
return, laid before the House at the same time, bears upon our
argument, if possible, still more conclusively. In table 11 we have
_only_ the years which have occurred since 1810, in which _all_
persons convicted of murder suffered death; and, compared with these
an _equal_ number of years in which the _smallest_ proportion of
persons convicted were executed. In the first case there were 66
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