But perhaps there is no passage in the whole of ancient and modern
history which breathes such a manly and splendid spirit of rationalism as
one preserved to us in the Vatican--strange resting-place for it!--in
which he treats of the terrible decay of population which had fallen on
his native land in his own day, and which by the general orthodox public
was regarded as a special judgment of God, sending childlessness on women
as a punishment for the sins of the people. For it was a disaster quite
without parallel in the history of the land, and entirely unforeseen by
any of its political-economy writers who, on the contrary, were always
anticipating that danger would arise from an excess of population
overrunning its means of subsistence, and becoming unmanageable through
its size. Polybius, however, will have nothing to do with either priest
or worker of miracles in this matter. He will not even seek that 'sacred
Heart of Greece,' Delphi, Apollo's shrine, whose inspiration even
Thucydides admitted and before whose wisdom Socrates bowed. How foolish,
he says, were the man who on this matter would pray to God. We must
search for the rational causes, and the causes are seen to be clear, and
the method of prevention also. He then proceeds to notice how all this
arose from the general reluctance to marriage and to bearing the expense
of educating a large family which resulted from the carelessness and
avarice of the men of his day, and he explains on entirely rational
principles the whole of this apparently supernatural judgment.
Now, it is to be borne in mind that while his rejection of miracles as
violation of inviolable laws is entirely a priori--for, discussion of
such a matter is, of course, impossible for a rational thinker--yet his
rejection of supernatural intervention rests entirely on the scientific
grounds of the necessity of looking for natural causes. And he is quite
logical in maintaining his position on these principles. For, where it
is either difficult or impossible to assign any rational cause for
phenomena, or to discover their laws, he acquiesces reluctantly in the
alternative of admitting some extra-natural interference which his
essentially scientific method of treating the matter has logically forced
on him, approving, for instance, of prayers for rain, on the express
ground that the laws of meteorology had not yet been ascertained. He
would, of course, have been the first to welcome our modern discoveries
in the matter. The passage in question is in every way one of the most
interesting in his whole work, not, of course, as signifying any
inclination on his part to acquiesce in the supernatural, but because it
shows how essentially logical and rational his method of argument was,
and how candid and fair his mind.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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