If we ask whether, in the sense of the observations we have just made of
the formation of scientific principles, there is anything at all like
deduction, we can find a procedure which bears a certain resemblance
with that impossible procedure and which, as a matter of fact, is
frequently and to very good purpose applied in science. It consists in
the fact that general principles which have been acquired through the
ordinary incomplete induction are _applied to special instances which,
at the proposition of the principle, had not been taken into
consideration_, and whose connection with the general concept had not
become directly evident. Through such application of general principles
to cases that have not been regarded before, specific natural laws are
obtained which had not been foreseen either, but which, according to the
probability of the thesis and the correctness of the application are
also probably correct. However, the investigator, bearing in mind the
factor of uncertainty in these ratiocinations feels in each such
instance the need for testing the results by experience, and he does not
consider the _deduction_ complete until he had found _confirmation_ in
experience.
Deduction, therefore, actually consists in the searching out of
particular instances of a principle established by induction and in its
confirmation by experience. This conduces to the growth of science, not
in breadth, but in profundity. I again resort to the comparison I have
frequently made of science with a very complex network. At first glance
we cannot obtain a complete picture of all the meshes. So, at the first
proposition of a natural law an immediate survey of the entire range of
the possible experiences to which it may apply is inachievable. It is a
regular, important, and necessary part of all scientific work to learn
the extent of this range and investigate the specific forms which the
law assumes in the remoter instances. Now, if an especially gifted and
far-seeing investigator has succeeded in stating in advance an
especially general formulation of an inductive law, it is everywhere
confirmed in the course of the trial applications, and the impression
easily arises that confirmation is superfluous, since it results simply
in what had already been "deduced." In point of fact, however, the
reverse is not infrequently the case, that the principle is _not_
confirmed, and conditions quite different from those anticipated are
found. Such discoveries, then, as a rule, constitute the starting-point
of important and far-reaching modifications of the original formulation
of the law in question.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account