=14. Ideal Cases.= Each experience may generally be considered under an
indefinite number of various concepts, all of which may be abstracted
from that experience by corresponding observations. Accordingly an
indefinite number of natural laws would be required for prophesying that
experience in all its parts. Likewise the indefinite number of premises
must be known through the application of which those natural laws
acquire a certain content. Thus it seems as if it were altogether
impossible to apply natural laws for the determination of a single
experience to come, and in a certain sense this is true (p. 30). For
example, when a child is born, we are quite incapable of foretelling the
peculiar events that will occur in its life. Beyond the statement that
it will live a while and then die, we can make only the broadest
assertions qualified by numerous "ifs" and "buts."
If, in spite of this, we arrange a very great part of our life and
activity according to the prophecies we make in regard to numerous
details in life, basing them upon natural laws, the question arises, how
we get over the difficulty, or, rather, the impossibility just referred
to.
The answer is, that we repeatedly so find or can form our experiences
that certain natural relations _preponderatingly_ determine the
experience, while the other parts that remain undetermined fall into the
background. _The prophecy will cover so considerable a part of the
experience that we can forego previous knowledge of the rest._ We can
foretell enough to render a practical construction of life possible, and
increasing experience, whether the personal experience of the individual
or the general experience of science, constantly enlarges this
controllable part of future experiences.
The procedure of science is similar to that of practical life, though
freer. Whenever an investigator seeks to test a natural law of the form:
if A is so, then B is so, he endeavors to choose or formulate the
experiences in such a way that the fewest possible extraneous elements
are present, and that those that are unavoidable should exert the least
possible influence upon the relation in question. He never succeeds
completely. In order, nevertheless, to reach a conclusion as to the form
the relation will take without extraneous influences, the following
general method is applied.
A series of instances are investigated which are so adjusted that the
influence of the extraneous elements grows less and less. Then the
relation investigated approaches a limit which is never quite reached,
but to which it draws nearer and nearer, the less the influence of the
extraneous elements. And the conclusion is drawn that if it were
possible to exclude the extraneous elements entirely, the limit of the
relation would be reached.
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