New York Times Current History: The European War, Vol 2, No. 1, April, 1915: April-September, 1915Various
History
New York Times Current History: The European War, Vol 2, No. 1, April, 1915: April-September, 1915
Various
World War, 1914-1918
Evidently not. Gold was not given for notes on presentation. For
purposes of exchanging goods the notes were in excess. Inconvertible,
they must go to a discount with gold or with the money of outside
countries using gold. But in order to get imports from other nations,
like Holland, Scandinavia, and Denmark, Germany must either send goods,
or gold, or securities. German industries, except those making war
supplies, were not producing over 25 per cent. of capacity, and many
were closed. The Siemens-Schuckert Works, even before the Landsturm was
called out, lost 40 per cent. of their men on mobilization. The Humboldt
Steel Works, near Cologne, employing 4,000 men, were closed early in
August, as were nearly all the great iron works in the district between
Düsseldorf and Duisburg. Probably 50 to 75 per cent. of the workers
were called to the colors. The skilled artisans were in the army or in
munition factories; the railways were in the hands of the military; and
the merchant marine was shut up in home or foreign ports. There were
said to be 1,500 idle ships in Hamburg alone. Few goods could be
exported. Gold was refused for export, of course. A serious liquidation
in foreign securities had been going on long before the war. Some
foreign securities must have still remained. However that may be, a
claim to funds in Germany (i.e., a bill drawn on Germany) was not
redeemable in gold, and it fell in price. In normal times a bill could
not fall below the shipping point in gold, (par with us for 4 marks is
95-1/4 cents in gold;) but, since gold could not be sent, exchange on
Germany could fall to any figure, set only by a declining demand.
Already bills on Germany have been quoted in New York at 82, showing a
depreciation of German money in the international field of about 13 per
cent. Likewise, as early as the first week of September, the Reichsbank
notes were reported at a discount of 20 per cent., and as practically
non-negotiable in a neighboring country like Holland.
The inevitable consequence of a depreciated currency must be a rise of
prices, usually greater than the actual percentage of depreciation. To
meet this situation there came a device possible in no other commercial
country. The Government fixed prices at which goods could be sold. This
mediaeval device could be enforced only in a land where such State
interference had been habitual, and, of course, could give to the notes
the fictitious purchasing power only inside the country. After the
Christian Science fashion, one had only to believe the notes were of
value to make them so; but in the cold world outside German jurisdiction
their value would be gauged by the chances of getting gold for them.
Here, then, we find Germany in all the mazes of our ancient
"greenbackism," but still in possession of a large stock of gold. As
soon as the war ends she may be able to return to gold payments at an
early date--very much as did France after the ordeal of the
Franco-Prussian war of 1870-1871.
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