Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciencesWhewell, William
Philosophy
Novum organon renovatum: Being the second part of the philosophy of the inductive sciences
Whewell, William
Science -- Philosophy
4. In a great body of cases, _mathematical_ language and calculation
are used to express the connexion {189} between the general law and
the special facts. And when this is done, the three steps above
described may be spoken of as the Selection of the _Independent
Variable_, the Construction of the _Formula_, and the Determination
of the _Coefficients_. It may be worth our while to attend to an
exemplification of this. Suppose then, that, in such observations as
we have just spoken of, namely, the shifting of a star from its
place in the heavens by an unknown law, astronomers had, at the end
of three successive years, found that the star had removed by 3, by
8, and by 15 minutes from its original place. Suppose it to be
ascertained also, by methods of which we shall hereafter treat, that
this change depends upon the time; we must then take the _time_,
(which we may denote by the symbol _t_,) for the _independent
variable_. But though the star changes its place _with_ the time,
the change is not _proportional_ to the time; for its motion which
is only 3 minutes in the first year, is 5 minutes in the second
year, and 7 in the third. But it is not difficult for a person a
little versed in mathematics to perceive that the series 3, 8, 15,
may be obtained by means of two terms, one of which is proportional
to the time, and the other to the square of the time; that is, it is
expressed by the _formula at + btt_. The question then occurs, what
are the values of the _coefficients_ _a_ and _b_; and a little
examination of the case shows us that _a_ must be 2, and _b_, 1: so
that the formula is 2_t_ + _tt_. Indeed if we add together the series
2, 4, 6, which expresses a change proportional to the time, and 1,
4, 9, which is proportional to the square of the time, we obtain the
series 3, 8, 15, which is the series of numbers given by
observation. And thus the three steps which give us the Idea, the
Conception, and the Magnitudes; or the Argument, the Law, and the
Amount, of the change; give us the Independent Variable, the
Formula, and the Coefficients, respectively.
We now proceed to offer some suggestions of methods by which each of
these steps may be in some degree promoted. {190}
SECT. II.--_Of the Selection of the Fundamental Idea._
5. When we turn our thoughts upon any assemblage of facts, with a
view of collecting from them some connexion or law, the most
important step, and at the same time that in which rules can least
aid us, is the Selection of the Idea by which they are to be
collected. So long as this idea has not been detected, all seems to
be hopeless confusion or insulated facts; when the connecting idea
has been caught sight of, we constantly regard the facts with
reference to their connexion, and wonder that it should be possible
for any one to consider them in any other point of view.
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